Primeira Liga · Title race
Primeira Liga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Porto lead the Primeira Liga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 69.9% of simulations. Porto 69.9%, SL Benfica 25.1%, Sporting CP 4.8% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 27 | 69.9% | 86 | Estoril Praia 83% |
| 2 |  SL Benfica | 22 | 25.1% | 79 | Alverca 76% |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 18 | 4.8% | 71 | @Casa Pia 91% |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 18 | <1% | 56 | @Marítimo 62% |
| 6 |  Acad. Viseu | 17 | <1% | 53 | Rio Ave 58% |
| 9 |  Braga | 11 | <1% | 49 | Famalicão 30% |
| 5 |  Arouca | 17 | <1% | 52 | CD Nacional 47% |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | <1% | 49 | @Braga 42% |
FAQ
Who will win the Primeira Liga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Porto the most likely Primeira Liga 2026/27 champions at 69.9%, ahead of SL Benfica (25.1%) and Sporting CP (4.8%). A statistical model, not betting advice.