Premier League · Title race
Premier League 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Arsenal lead the Premier League 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 41.9% of simulations. Arsenal 41.9%, Man City 37.8%, Brighton Hove 16.8% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Arsenal | 21 | 41.9% | 83 | @Liverpool 51% |
| 1 |  Man City | 21 | 37.8% | 82 | Brighton Hove 48% |
| 3 |  Brighton Hove | 16 | 16.8% | 76 | @Man City 30% |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 15 | 1.4% | 63 | Arsenal 22% |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 13 | 0.9% | 59 | Man United 49% |
| 6 |  Brentford | 11 | 0.6% | 58 | Nottingham 57% |
FAQ
Who will win the Premier League this season?
Footyntel's model makes Arsenal the most likely Premier League 2026/27 champions at 41.9%, ahead of Man City (37.8%) and Brighton Hove (16.8%). A statistical model, not betting advice.