Ligue 1 · Title race
Ligue 1 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
PSG lead the Ligue 1 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 55.2% of simulations. PSG 55.2%, RC Lens 8.6%, Lille 7.7% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 17 | 55.2% | 67 | @Le Havre 69% |
| 7 |  RC Lens | 13 | 8.6% | 55 | @Lille 31% |
| 3 |  Lille | 15 | 7.7% | 56 | RC Lens 43% |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyon | 14 | 7.4% | 55 | @Brest 47% |
| 8 |  Marseille | 12 | 7.3% | 54 | Toulouse 56% |
| 4 |  Monaco | 15 | 5.6% | 54 | @Paris FC 34% |
| 2 |  Stade Rennais | 16 | 4.2% | 52 | Lille 36% |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 14 | 2.7% | 50 | Monaco 40% |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 10 | 0.6% | 44 | @Marseille 24% |
| 9 |  Lorient | 12 | <1% | 43 | @Le Havre 43% |
FAQ
Who will win the Ligue 1 this season?
Footyntel's model makes PSG the most likely Ligue 1 2026/27 champions at 55.2%, ahead of RC Lens (8.6%) and Lille (7.7%). A statistical model, not betting advice.