La Liga · Title race
La Liga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Barça lead the La Liga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 76.4% of simulations. Barça 76.4%, Real Madrid 16.9%, Atleti 6.4% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barça | 27 | 76.4% | 95 | Alavés 85% |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 24 | 16.9% | 86 | @Santander 76% |
| 2 |  Atleti | 25 | 6.4% | 79 | @Levante 58% |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 20 | <1% | 65 | Málaga 69% |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 19 | <1% | 60 | @Athletic 31% |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 12 | <1% | 58 | Espanyol 61% |
| 6 |  Sevilla FC | 17 | <1% | 54 | @Getafe 42% |
| 11 |  Deportivo | 11 | <1% | 47 | Osasuna 57% |
FAQ
Who will win the La Liga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Barça the most likely La Liga 2026/27 champions at 76.4%, ahead of Real Madrid (16.9%) and Atleti (6.4%). A statistical model, not betting advice.