La Liga · Relegation
La Liga 2026/27 Relegation Battle
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Málaga carry the highest relegation risk in the La Liga 2026/27 at 61.7%. Málaga 61.7%, Valencia 50%, Getafe 49.8% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 |  Málaga | 5 | 61.7% | 31 | @Real Betis 13% |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 50% | 34 | @Elche 21% |
| 17 |  Getafe | 9 | 49.8% | 34 | Sevilla FC 28% |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 11 | 29.1% | 39 | @Deportivo 20% |
| 13 |  Santander | 11 | 28.2% | 40 | Real Madrid 11% |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 26.6% | 40 | Celta 28% |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 8 | 17.4% | 42 | @Villarreal 18% |
| 14 |  Levante | 10 | 11.3% | 45 | Atleti 21% |
| 15 |  Elche | 10 | 7.7% | 47 | Valencia 56% |
| 11 |  Deportivo | 11 | 6.6% | 47 | Osasuna 57% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the La Liga?
The model's highest relegation risks are Málaga (61.7%), Valencia (50%), Getafe (49.8%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.