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Championship · Title race

Championship 2026/27 Title Race

Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations

League tableRelegation battleFixtures

Middlesbrough lead the Championship 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 32% of simulations. Middlesbrough 32%, Southampton 23.7%, West Ham 21.7% head the contenders.

Title probability over time

40%30%20%10%0%11 Oct19 Oct28 Oct
Middlesbrough 32%Southampton 23.7%West Ham 21.7%Birmingham 6.6%QPR 4.1%Swansea 3.3%

Contenders

#TeamPtsTitle %Proj ptsNext
1Middlesbrough2532%88Charlton 70%
6Southampton2023.7%85QPR 57%
3West Ham2221.7%84West Brom 58%
7Birmingham206.6%77@Lincoln City 50%
8QPR204.1%74@Southampton 21%
2Swansea233.3%73Blackburn 45%
4Wolverhampton212.5%71Cardiff 48%
5West Brom211.3%69@West Ham 20%
9Stoke201.3%69Preston NE 63%
10Blackburn180.8%66@Swansea 28%

FAQ

Who will win the Championship this season?

Footyntel's model makes Middlesbrough the most likely Championship 2026/27 champions at 32%, ahead of Southampton (23.7%) and West Ham (21.7%). A statistical model, not betting advice.

← Full Championship table & projection