Championship · Relegation
Championship 2026/27 Relegation Battle
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Preston NE carry the highest relegation risk in the Championship 2026/27 at 79.9%. Preston NE 79.9%, Watford 44.4%, Derby County 43.6% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 |  Preston NE | 5 | 79.9% | 35 | @Stoke 16% |
| 21 |  Watford | 11 | 44.4% | 45 | @Norwich 19% |
| 23 |  Derby County | 7 | 43.6% | 45 | @Millwall 20% |
| 22 |  Burnley | 8 | 40% | 46 | Portsmouth 37% |
| 18 |  Charlton | 14 | 22.6% | 50 | @Middlesbrough 12% |
| 19 |  Bolton | 14 | 16.2% | 54 | Bristol City 38% |
| 15 |  Lincoln City | 15 | 15.7% | 54 | Birmingham 25% |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 7.6% | 59 | Watford 59% |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 15 | 7.1% | 58 | @Bolton 35% |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 14 | 6.5% | 59 | @Sheffield Utd 28% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Championship?
The model's highest relegation risks are Preston NE (79.9%), Watford (44.4%), Derby County (43.6%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.