Bundesliga · Title race
Bundesliga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Bayern lead the Bundesliga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 84.7% of simulations. Bayern 84.7%, Dortmund 11.2%, RB Leipzig 2% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern | 17 | 84.7% | 84 | Dortmund 68% |
| 2 |  Dortmund | 17 | 11.2% | 71 | @Bayern 14% |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 12 | 2% | 61 | @Schalke 46% |
| 4 |  Leverkusen | 13 | 1.3% | 60 | Stuttgart 66% |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 13 | <1% | 56 | @Augsburg 30% |
| 10 |  Hoffenheim | 9 | <1% | 49 | @Bremen 33% |
| 7 |  Mainz | 10 | <1% | 46 | @Elversberg 30% |
| 6 |  Bremen | 12 | <1% | 46 | Hoffenheim 46% |
FAQ
Who will win the Bundesliga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Bayern the most likely Bundesliga 2026/27 champions at 84.7%, ahead of Dortmund (11.2%) and RB Leipzig (2%). A statistical model, not betting advice.