Brasileirão Série A · Title race
Brasileirão Série A 2026 Title Race
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Flamengo lead the Brasileirão Série A 2026 title race on the model, winning it in 62.7% of simulations. Flamengo 62.7%, Palmeiras 37.3%, Cruzeiro 0% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 70 | 62.7% | 83 | @Vasco da Gama 61% |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 69 | 37.3% | 81 | @Santos 54% |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 54 | 0% | 63 | @Mineiro 30% |
| 4 |  Paranaense | 54 | 0% | 63 | @Grêmio 39% |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 51 | 0% | 61 | Internacional 57% |
| 6 |  Mineiro | 50 | 0% | 59 | Cruzeiro 45% |
| 7 |  Bahia | 50 | 0% | 59 | São Paulo 48% |
| 8 |  Santos | 46 | 0% | 54 | Palmeiras 21% |
FAQ
Who will win the Brasileirão Série A this season?
Footyntel's model makes Flamengo the most likely Brasileirão Série A 2026 champions at 62.7%, ahead of Palmeiras (37.3%) and Cruzeiro (0%). A statistical model, not betting advice.