Brasileirão Série A · Relegation
Brasileirão Série A 2026 Relegation Battle
Updated 28 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Chapecoense carry the highest relegation risk in the Brasileirão Série A 2026 at 100%. Chapecoense 100%, Clube do Remo 99.6%, Grêmio 60.1% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 21 | 100% | 25 | @Bragantino 15% |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 26 | 99.6% | 33 | Botafogo 37% |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 34 | 60.1% | 41 | Paranaense 34% |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 33 | 54.6% | 41 | Mirassol 40% |
| 16 |  Internacional | 35 | 28% | 43 | @Fluminense 20% |
| 14 |  Vitória | 38 | 14.9% | 45 | @Coritiba 27% |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 37 | 14.5% | 45 | @Corinthians 32% |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 39 | 12.9% | 45 | Vitória 47% |
| 13 |  Vasco da Gama | 38 | 11.8% | 45 | Flamengo 17% |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 39 | 3.5% | 47 | @Clube do Remo 37% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Brasileirão Série A?
The model's highest relegation risks are Chapecoense (100%), Clube do Remo (99.6%), Grêmio (60.1%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.