Footyntel.

Serie A · Fixtures

Udinese vs Venezia FC — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 24 · Sun 14 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Udinese win
45%
Draw
25%
Venezia FC win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score55%
UdineseLLLLD17th · 5 pts
Venezia FCLLWLL20th · 3 pts

Ahead of Udinese v Venezia FC in the Serie A on 14 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Udinese the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Udinese and 1.2 for Venezia FC. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Udinese goals down (↓), Venezia FC goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

68521010127310896210453100221000010000012345012345

Recent form

Udinese
D@ Parma0–0
Lvs Milan0–2
Lvs Lecce0–3
L@ Torino1–2
Lvs Cagliari0–1
Venezia FC
Lvs Inter0–2
L@ Genoa0–1
Wvs Napoli1–0
L@ Atalanta1–3
Lvs Lazio0–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Udinese vs Venezia FC, and How is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's model uses a blend of current season performance and last season's form to project the outcome of Udinese vs Venezia FC. By analyzing goals scored and conceded for both teams, the model regresses early-season data toward the league average to account for small sample sizes. This approach ensures a balanced evaluation, especially in the early stages of the season. The Poisson goals model then simulates the match thousands of times to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and other key metrics like projected goals and over-2.5 / both-teams-to-score chances.

How Does Home Advantage at Dacia Arena Influence the Udinese vs Venezia FC Prediction?

The Dacia Arena, known for its passionate atmosphere and vocal home support, often plays a crucial role in Udinese's performances. Home advantage is a significant factor in football, and Udinese has historically leveraged this to their benefit. The model considers this by weighing home and away performances differently, giving Udinese a slight edge due to their home status. Venezia FC, on the other hand, will be looking to overcome the challenge of playing away from home, where they might find it harder to impose their style of play.

Who Will Win Udinese vs Venezia FC: Analyzing Each Side's Attack and Defence

When assessing who will win Udinese vs Venezia FC, it's essential to look at the balance between attack and defence for both teams:

Udinese vs Venezia FC Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

While recent head-to-head data between Udinese and Venezia FC is limited, historical encounters can still provide some insights. In general, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, with neither team having a clear dominance. The limited history suggests that games are often tight, with both teams relying on tactical discipline and set-piece proficiency to gain an advantage. This season, both teams will be looking to assert their style of play, making the encounter even more intriguing.

What to Look for in Udinese vs Venezia FC: Key Factors and Insights

Several key factors could influence the outcome of Udinese vs Venezia FC:

Interactive Tools: Enhancing Your Match Analysis

On the Footyntel page, you'll find a scoreline-probability heatmap and an interactive "what-if" simulator. These tools allow you to explore various match scenarios and see how different factors might affect the outcome. For instance, you can adjust Venezia FC's attacking efficiency or Udinese's defensive solidity and see how these changes impact the predicted scoreline and win probabilities.

A Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a data-driven forecast, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. Unexpected events, player form, and tactical adjustments can all influence the match's outcome. The model aims to provide a probabilistic view based on available data, but it cannot account for every variable. Therefore, while the prediction offers valuable insights, it should be considered one of several factors in your match analysis.

Conclusion

In summary, the Udinese vs Venezia FC match promises to be a fascinating encounter, with both teams bringing their unique strengths and weaknesses to the table. Here's a quick recap:

By considering these elements, you can gain a comprehensive understanding of the upcoming match and make more informed predictions.

FAQ

Who will win Udinese vs Venezia FC?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Udinese the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Udinese win 45%, draw 25%, Venezia FC win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Venezia FC?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Udinese 1–1 Venezia FC). Projected goals: Udinese 1.5, Venezia FC 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Udinese vs Venezia FC played?

Udinese host Venezia FC at Dacia Arena in the Serie A on 14 February 2027.

← Serie A table & projection