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Serie A · Fixtures

Udinese vs Parma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Udinese win
47%
Draw
29%
Parma win
25%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score42%
UdineseLLLLD17th · 5 pts
ParmaWLLLD18th · 5 pts

Ahead of Udinese v Parma in the Serie A on 21 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Udinese the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.3 for Udinese and 0.9 for Parma. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Udinese goals down (↓), Parma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Udinese 1W · 1D · 1L.

Parma0–0Udinese
Udinese0–1Parma
Parma0–2Udinese

Recent form

Udinese
D@ Parma0–0
Lvs Milan0–2
Lvs Lecce0–3
L@ Torino1–2
Lvs Cagliari0–1
Parma
Dvs Udinese0–0
L@ Lazio1–2
Lvs Torino0–3
L@ Inter0–3
Wvs Genoa2–1

What Does Footyntel's Udinese vs Parma Prediction Entail?

Footyntel's model generates a prediction for the Udinese vs Parma clash by evaluating each team's attacking and defensive capabilities based on goals scored and conceded this season, adjusted towards the league average in the early stages. It then incorporates last season's performance metrics and simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to derive win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. The prediction is a blend of statistical analysis and historical trends, providing a comprehensive overview of potential outcomes.

How Does Home Advantage at Dacia Arena Influence the Udinese vs Parma Prediction?

Playing at the Dacia Arena, Udinese benefits from the familiar surroundings and the support of their home crowd, which can be a significant factor in their performance. Historically, home advantage in Serie A has often played a crucial role in determining match outcomes, with teams generally performing better on their own turf. For Udinese, this could mean a boost in both their attacking and defensive plays, as they aim to leverage the home crowd's energy and the comfort of their own stadium. Parma, on the other hand, will need to counteract this advantage by focusing on their defensive organization and capitalizing on any opportunities to exploit Udinese's weaknesses.

What Role Does Each Side's Attack and Defence Balance Play in the Udinese vs Parma Match?

The balance between attack and defence for both Udinese and Parma is a key factor in Footyntel's prediction model. Udinese, known for their robust defensive structure, will look to stifle Parma's attacking threats while capitalizing on counter-attacks. Parma, meanwhile, will aim to break through Udinese's defence with their attacking prowess, potentially creating scoring opportunities through their midfield creativity and forward runs. The model's prediction is influenced by how well each team maintains this balance, with Udinese's defence and Parma's attack being particularly scrutinized for their impact on the match's outcome.

Udinese vs Parma Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

While Footyntel's data on Udinese vs Parma head-to-head encounters is limited to two recent matches, it provides a general sense of their competitive dynamics. These matches indicate a closely contested rivalry, with neither team consistently dominating the other. The historical data suggests that both Udinese and Parma have had their moments of strength and vulnerability, making each encounter unpredictable and intriguing. The model considers these past performances as a baseline, adjusting for current form and other contextual factors to provide a more nuanced prediction.

What Does Recent Form Indicate for Udinese and Parma?

Recent form is a critical component of Footyntel's prediction model, offering insights into how each team is performing leading up to the match. Udinese's form, characterized by their defensive solidity and occasional attacking flair, suggests they are capable of grinding out results even when not at their best. Parma, meanwhile, has shown glimpses of attacking brilliance but may need to improve their defensive consistency to challenge Udinese effectively. The model takes into account these trends, providing a projection that reflects the current state of both teams.

What to Look for in Udinese vs Parma: Key Factors and Insights

When analyzing the Udinese vs Parma match, several key factors should be considered:

These factors, combined with the model's statistical analysis, provide a comprehensive framework for understanding the potential dynamics of the match.

Interactive Tools: Enhancing Your Match Analysis

Footyntel offers an interactive "what-if" simulator and a scoreline-probability heatmap, allowing users to explore various scenarios and outcomes. These tools provide deeper insights into the match, enabling users to visualize the impact of different in-game situations and tactical adjustments. Whether you're a fan, a coach, or a fantasy football enthusiast, these tools offer valuable perspectives on the Udinese vs Parma clash.

Embracing Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a detailed prediction, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. The beauty of the game lies in its unpredictability, with each match offering a unique narrative. The Udinese vs Parma match is no exception, and while the model offers a statistical forecast, the actual outcome will depend on the players' performances, tactical decisions, and the ever-present element of chance.

FAQ

Who will win Udinese vs Parma?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Udinese the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Udinese win 47%, draw 29%, Parma win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Parma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Udinese 1–0 Parma). Projected goals: Udinese 1.3, Parma 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Udinese vs Parma played?

Udinese host Parma at Dacia Arena in the Serie A on 21 February 2027.

What is the Udinese vs Parma head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Udinese have 1 win, Parma 1, and 1 was drawn.

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