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Serie A · Fixtures

Udinese vs Bologna — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sun 31 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Udinese win
26%
Draw
24%
Bologna win
51%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score56%
UdineseLLLLD17th · 5 pts
BolognaDWLWW11th · 11 pts

Ahead of Udinese v Bologna in the Serie A on 31 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Bologna the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Udinese and 1.7 for Bologna. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Udinese goals down (↓), Bologna goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Udinese 0W · 0D · 2L.

Bologna1–0Udinese
Udinese0–3Bologna

Recent form

Udinese
D@ Parma0–0
Lvs Milan0–2
Lvs Lecce0–3
L@ Torino1–2
Lvs Cagliari0–1
Bologna
W@ Milan4–2
W@ Cagliari2–0
Lvs Inter1–3
W@ Lecce2–1
Dvs Torino1–1

What does Footyntel's model expect from Udinese vs Bologna, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's model predicts the outcome of Udinese vs Bologna by analyzing each team's attacking and defensive strengths, factoring in their recent form and historical performance. The prediction process begins with a detailed assessment of goals scored and conceded, adjusted towards the league average, especially in the early stages of the season. This data is then blended with each team's performance from the previous season. The model employs a Poisson goals model to simulate the match, providing win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How does home advantage at Dacia Arena impact the Udinese vs Bologna prediction?

Playing at the Dacia Arena, Udinese Calcio enjoys the benefit of home advantage, which can be a significant factor in influencing the outcome of the match. Historically, home teams in Serie A have often had an edge due to familiar surroundings, crowd support, and reduced travel fatigue. For Udinese, this means they can potentially leverage these factors to enhance their performance, especially in terms of maintaining defensive solidity and capitalizing on attacking opportunities. However, Bologna FC 1909 will be well aware of this and will aim to neutralize Udinese's home advantage with a disciplined approach and tactical acumen.

What does the attack and defence balance tell us about Udinese and Bologna?

When analyzing the attack and defence balance of both Udinese and Bologna, several key aspects come into play. Udinese's performance this season, as reflected in their goals scored and conceded, provides insights into their strengths and weaknesses. If their attack has been particularly potent, they may pose a significant threat to Bologna's defence. Conversely, if their defence has been strong, they could be well-equipped to handle Bologna's attacking prowess. Similarly, Bologna's attacking and defensive statistics will reveal whether they have the capability to break down Udinese's defence or if they need to focus on shoring up their own backline to withstand Udinese's attacks.

Udinese vs Bologna head-to-head: What does history tell us?

While specific past results are not disclosed, the general head-to-head history between Udinese and Bologna offers some perspective. The two clubs have met multiple times in recent years, with each encounter providing a unique narrative. These matches often highlight the competitive nature of their rivalry, with neither team willing to give an inch. The history between these two sides suggests that matches are often closely contested, with tactical battles and moments of individual brilliance playing crucial roles. This historical context underscores the importance of preparation and strategy for both teams as they approach this fixture.

What to look for in Udinese vs Bologna?

As we look forward to Udinese vs Bologna, several factors will be pivotal in determining the outcome:

What does the scoreline-probability heatmap and interactive simulator reveal?

The scoreline-probability heatmap and interactive "what-if" simulator on Footyntel's page offer valuable insights into the potential outcomes of Udinese vs Bologna. The heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of different scorelines, allowing users to see which outcomes are most probable based on the model's analysis. Meanwhile, the interactive simulator empowers users to explore various scenarios, adjusting factors such as goals scored, possession, and other in-game variables to see how they might impact the final result. These tools provide a deeper understanding of the match's possible trajectories, highlighting the dynamic nature of football and the myriad factors that can influence its outcome.

An honest note on football's unpredictability

Despite the sophisticated modeling and analysis that goes into predicting football matches, it's important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of the sport. Football is a game of fine margins, where a single moment of brilliance, a referee's decision, or a stroke of luck can dramatically alter the course of a match. While Footyntel's model provides a comprehensive framework for understanding Udinese vs Bologna, it cannot account for every variable. Therefore, while the predictions offer valuable guidance, they should be viewed as one piece of the puzzle, with the beauty of football lying in its capacity to surprise and defy expectations.

FAQ

Who will win Udinese vs Bologna?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Bologna the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Udinese win 26%, draw 24%, Bologna win 51%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Bologna?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Udinese 1–1 Bologna). Projected goals: Udinese 1.2, Bologna 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Udinese vs Bologna played?

Udinese host Bologna at Dacia Arena in the Serie A on 31 January 2027.

What is the Udinese vs Bologna head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Udinese have 0 wins, Bologna 2, and 0 were drawn.

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