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Serie A · Fixtures

Sassuolo vs Roma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Sassuolo win
9%
Draw
13%
Roma win
79%
Most likely score0–3
Projected goals1 – 3.1
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams score59%
SassuoloLDLLL15th · 8 pts
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts

Ahead of Sassuolo v Roma in the Serie A on 21 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Roma the most likely outcome at 79%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–3, with projected goals of 1 for Sassuolo and 3.1 for Roma. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sassuolo goals down (↓), Roma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Sassuolo 0W · 0D · 2L.

Roma2–0Sassuolo
Sassuolo0–1Roma

Recent form

Sassuolo
Lvs Lazio2–6
L@ Como 19070–2
L@ Frosinone2–4
Dvs Milan1–1
L@ Monza1–2
Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Sassuolo vs Roma?

Footyntel's model predicts the outcome of the Serie A clash between US Sassuolo Calcio and AS Roma by analyzing each team's attack and defence strengths, factoring in their recent form and historical data. The prediction process involves a Poisson goals model that simulates the match multiple times to generate probabilities for potential outcomes, including the likelihood of a home win, draw, or away win, as well as projected scorelines and goal totals.

How Does the Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore Impact the Sassuolo vs Roma Prediction?

The Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore is known for its vibrant atmosphere and has historically provided a significant home advantage for Sassuolo. Home advantage is a crucial factor in football, often influencing team performance and results. For Sassuolo, playing at home could enhance their attacking prowess and defensive solidarity, potentially swaying the match in their favor. However, Roma's experience in handling various playing conditions and their robust squad could mitigate some of these advantages. The model's prediction will reflect how much weight it gives to home advantage based on Sassuolo's performance metrics this season and their historical data at the Mapei Stadium.

Who Will Win Sassuolo vs Roma?

Predicting the winner of Sassuolo vs Roma involves a detailed examination of both teams' current form and historical performance. Sassuolo, known for their attacking flair and ability to score goals, will look to capitalize on their home advantage. On the other hand, Roma's strong defensive record and tactical discipline under their manager could make them a formidable opponent. The model's prediction will be influenced by how these factors balance out. It's important to note that while the model provides a probabilistic outlook, football is inherently unpredictable, and any outcome is possible.

What Does the Head-to-Head History Tell Us?

When looking at the head-to-head history between Sassuolo and Roma, the data suggests a competitive rivalry. Although the exact scorelines from previous encounters are not specified, the general trend indicates that both teams have had their moments of dominance. This history adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match, as both sides will be aware of the challenge posed by the other. The model's analysis will incorporate these historical insights, but it will also heavily rely on the current season's data to form its prediction.

What to Look for in Sassuolo vs Roma?

As we anticipate the clash between Sassuolo and Roma, several key aspects will be crucial in determining the match's outcome:

Interactive Tools for Fans

Footyntel offers an interactive "what-if" simulator that allows fans to explore different scenarios and outcomes for the Sassuolo vs Roma match. This tool provides a deeper understanding of how various factors, such as team form, player availability, and in-game events, can affect the match's outcome. Additionally, the scoreline-probability heatmap offers a visual representation of the most likely outcomes, helping fans to gauge the potential results based on the model's analysis.

Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a comprehensive analysis and prediction for the Sassuolo vs Roma match, it's essential to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, such as a player injury, a referee's decision, or a moment of individual brilliance, can significantly alter the course of a match. Therefore, while the model offers a probabilistic forecast, the beauty of football lies in its capacity to surprise and delight, making each match a unique and thrilling experience.

FAQ

Who will win Sassuolo vs Roma?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Roma the most likely result at 79%. Full split: Sassuolo win 9%, draw 13%, Roma win 79%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Roma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–3 (Sassuolo 0–3 Roma). Projected goals: Sassuolo 1, Roma 3.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Sassuolo vs Roma played?

Sassuolo host Roma at Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore in the Serie A on 21 February 2027.

What is the Sassuolo vs Roma head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Sassuolo have 0 wins, Roma 2, and 0 were drawn.

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