Footyntel.

Serie A · Fixtures

Roma vs Sassuolo — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Roma win
80%
Draw
12%
Sassuolo win
8%
Most likely score3–0
Projected goals3.1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams score59%
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts
SassuoloLDLLL15th · 8 pts

Ahead of Roma v Sassuolo in the Serie A on 7 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Roma the most likely outcome at 80%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3.1 for Roma and 1 for Sassuolo. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Roma goals down (↓), Sassuolo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Roma 2W · 0D · 0L.

Roma2–0Sassuolo
Sassuolo0–1Roma

Recent form

Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2
Sassuolo
Lvs Lazio2–6
L@ Como 19070–2
L@ Frosinone2–4
Dvs Milan1–1
L@ Monza1–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Roma vs Sassuolo, and How Is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's model approaches the prediction for Roma vs Sassuolo by analyzing each team's attacking and defensive metrics, factoring in their recent form, and simulating the match using a Poisson goals model. The prediction takes into account the historical performance of both AS Roma and US Sassuolo, with a particular emphasis on how these two teams have fared in their recent encounters. The model also considers the impact of playing at the Stadio Olimpico, a venue known for its passionate atmosphere and home advantage for Roma.

How Does Home Advantage at Stadio Olimpico Influence the Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction?

The Stadio Olimpico is a fortress for AS Roma, providing a significant home advantage that can influence the outcome of matches. The model accounts for this by weighing Roma's home performance more heavily, particularly in terms of their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Historically, Roma has been known to perform better at home, which could be a crucial factor in this fixture. The passionate support from the Roma fans can often spur the team on to greater heights, making them a formidable opponent for any visiting side, including Sassuolo.

What Does the Attack-Defence Balance Tell Us About Roma and Sassuolo?

When analyzing the attack and defence of both AS Roma and US Sassuolo, the model provides insights into their respective strengths and weaknesses. Roma, with their robust defence and potent attack, often pose a significant threat to their opponents. Their ability to score goals and keep clean sheets has been a key factor in their recent performances. On the other hand, Sassuolo, while not as defensively solid as Roma, have shown the ability to score goals and create chances. The balance between attack and defence for both teams will play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this match.

Roma vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

The head-to-head record between AS Roma and US Sassuolo provides a general indication of how these two teams have fared against each other in the past. Although Footyntel's model does not rely on specific past results, it considers the broader trends and patterns that have emerged from their previous encounters. Both teams have had their share of successes and challenges in these matches, with neither side holding a clear dominance. This suggests that the upcoming fixture could be a closely contested affair, with both teams having the potential to come out on top.

What to Look for in Roma vs Sassuolo: Recent Form and Key Factors

Recent form is another critical aspect that the model takes into account. For Roma, their performance in the current season, including their ability to maintain consistency and adapt to different opponents, will be under scrutiny. Meanwhile, Sassuolo will be looking to build on their recent performances, leveraging their attacking flair and resilience to challenge Roma. Here are some key factors to consider:

Who Will Win Roma vs Sassuolo? Understanding the Model's Prediction

The question of who will win Roma vs Sassuolo is one that Footyntel's model seeks to answer by blending various factors into a comprehensive prediction. While the model does not provide a definitive answer, it offers a probability distribution that reflects the likelihood of different outcomes. The interactive "what-if" simulator on the page allows readers to explore how changes in team performance could affect the outcome, providing a deeper understanding of the potential scenarios.

The Unpredictability of Football: A Note of Caution

Despite the sophisticated nature of Footyntel's model, it's important to remember the inherent unpredictability of football. Roma vs Sassuolo is a fixture that could swing either way, with numerous variables at play that can influence the result. While the model provides valuable insights and probabilities, it cannot account for every possible factor, such as weather conditions, individual player performances, or unexpected tactical changes. Therefore, while the prediction offers a guide, the beauty of football lies in its unpredictability, and the match could surprise even the most seasoned observers.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Footyntel's model provides a detailed and analytical approach to predicting the outcome of Roma vs Sassuolo. By considering factors such as home advantage, attack-defence balance, head-to-head history, and recent form, the model offers a comprehensive prediction that reflects the complexities of the game. However, as with all football matches, the final result will ultimately depend on the performances of the teams on the day, and the passion and skill they bring to the Stadio Olimpico.

FAQ

Who will win Roma vs Sassuolo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Roma the most likely result at 80%. Full split: Roma win 80%, draw 12%, Sassuolo win 8%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Sassuolo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Roma 3–0 Sassuolo). Projected goals: Roma 3.1, Sassuolo 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Roma vs Sassuolo played?

Roma host Sassuolo at Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A on 7 November 2026.

What is the Roma vs Sassuolo head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Roma have 2 wins, Sassuolo 0, and 0 were drawn.

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