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Roma vs Parma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 24 · Sun 14 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Roma win
81%
Draw
14%
Parma win
5%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.4 – 0.5
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score33%
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts
ParmaWLLLD18th · 5 pts

Ahead of Roma v Parma in the Serie A on 14 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Roma the most likely outcome at 81%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.4 for Roma and 0.5 for Parma. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Roma goals down (↓), Parma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

631000146100017820001361000841000420000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Roma 2W · 0D · 0L.

Parma2–3Roma
Roma2–1Parma

Recent form

Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2
Parma
Dvs Udinese0–0
L@ Lazio1–2
Lvs Torino0–3
L@ Inter0–3
Wvs Genoa2–1

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Roma vs Parma, and How is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's prediction model for the upcoming Serie A clash between AS Roma and Parma Calcio 1913 leverages a blend of current season performance metrics and historical data. By analyzing goals scored and conceded, the model adjusts for early-season variance by regressing toward the league average, while also factoring in each team's form from the previous season. The final prediction is generated using a Poisson goals model, which simulates the match multiple times to produce probabilities for different outcomes, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring.

How Does Home Advantage at Stadio Olimpico Influence the Roma vs Parma Prediction?

Playing at the Stadio Olimpico, AS Roma is expected to benefit from the familiar surroundings and the support of their home crowd. Historically, home advantage has played a significant role in Serie A matches, often providing a boost to the home team's performance. For Roma, this could mean a slight edge in terms of possession, territorial dominance, and overall confidence on the pitch. However, Parma's ability to cope with the away pressure and exploit any potential weaknesses in Roma's defense will be crucial. The model's prediction takes into account this home advantage, reflecting it in the attack and defense ratings for both teams.

What Does the Attack-Defence Balance Tell Us About Roma and Parma?

When examining the attack and defence balance of both AS Roma and Parma Calcio 1913, several factors come into play. Roma, known for their strong offensive capabilities, have demonstrated an ability to break down defenses and create scoring opportunities. Their attack is complemented by a solid defensive lineup that aims to minimize conceding goals. On the other hand, Parma's approach may focus on a more balanced strategy, potentially prioritizing a strong defense to counter Roma's attacking prowess. The model's analysis of these aspects will be reflected in the predicted probabilities and scoreline, highlighting the importance of both teams' tactical approaches.

Roma vs Parma Head-to-Head: What Does Recent History Tell Us?

In the recent encounters between AS Roma and Parma Calcio 1913, the matches have been closely contested, with both teams showcasing their strengths and tactical acumen. While specific scorelines from previous meetings are not provided, the general trend indicates that these fixtures are often decided by fine margins. Parma has shown resilience against Roma, while the Giallorossi have typically relied on their home advantage and attacking flair to secure positive results. This historical context, combined with current form, provides a nuanced backdrop to the upcoming match, suggesting that fans can expect a competitive and potentially high-stakes encounter.

What to Look for in Roma vs Parma: Key Factors and Interactive Tools

As fans and analysts prepare for the Roma vs Parma clash, several key factors will influence the outcome:

Footyntel's interactive tools, such as the scoreline-probability heatmap and the "what-if" simulator, allow users to explore various scenarios and gain deeper insights into the potential outcomes. These tools provide a dynamic way to engage with the match prediction, offering a personalized analysis based on different variables.

Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a structured and data-driven approach to predicting the outcome of the Roma vs Parma match, it is important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, individual brilliance, and tactical surprises can all play a part in shaping the final result. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights and probabilities, it is always wise to consider the dynamic and ever-changing nature of the sport. Enjoy the match, and may the best team win!

FAQ

Who will win Roma vs Parma?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Roma the most likely result at 81%. Full split: Roma win 81%, draw 14%, Parma win 5%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Parma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Roma 2–0 Parma). Projected goals: Roma 2.4, Parma 0.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Roma vs Parma played?

Roma host Parma at Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A on 14 February 2027.

What is the Roma vs Parma head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Roma have 2 wins, Parma 0, and 0 were drawn.

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