Footyntel.

Serie A · Fixtures

Roma 4–2 Cagliari

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UTC · Full time

4 – 2

Roma 4–2 Cagliari — Roma won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Roma to win at 75%, and the exact 4–2 scoreline at about 1%.

Pre-match model view

Roma win
75%
Draw
16%
Cagliari win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score45%
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts
CagliariWDLLL10th · 13 pts

Ahead of Roma v Cagliari in the Serie A on 27 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Roma the most likely outcome at 75%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.4 for Roma and 0.7 for Cagliari. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Roma goals down (↓), Cagliari goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

531000118310013931001172100641000321000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Roma 2W · 0D · 1L.

Roma4–2Cagliari
Roma2–0Cagliari
Cagliari1–0Roma

Recent form

Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2
Cagliari
L@ Roma2–4
Lvs Bologna0–2
L@ Monza0–4
Dvs Juventus1–1
W@ Udinese1–0

FAQ

Who will win Roma vs Cagliari?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Roma the most likely result at 75%. Full split: Roma win 75%, draw 16%, Cagliari win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Cagliari?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Roma 2–0 Cagliari). Projected goals: Roma 2.4, Cagliari 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Roma vs Cagliari played?

Roma host Cagliari at Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A on 27 October 2026.

What is the Roma vs Cagliari head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Roma have 2 wins, Cagliari 1, and 0 were drawn.

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