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Parma vs Sassuolo — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sun 28 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Parma win
24%
Draw
25%
Sassuolo win
51%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals1 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score50%
ParmaWLLLD18th · 5 pts
SassuoloLDLLL15th · 8 pts

Ahead of Parma v Sassuolo in the Serie A on 28 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Sassuolo the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 1 for Parma and 1.6 for Sassuolo. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Parma goals down (↓), Sassuolo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Parma 1W · 1D · 0L.

Parma1–0Sassuolo
Sassuolo1–1Parma

Recent form

Parma
Dvs Udinese0–0
L@ Lazio1–2
Lvs Torino0–3
L@ Inter0–3
Wvs Genoa2–1
Sassuolo
Lvs Lazio2–6
L@ Como 19070–2
L@ Frosinone2–4
Dvs Milan1–1
L@ Monza1–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Predict for Parma vs Sassuolo?

Footyntel's model approaches the prediction for Parma vs Sassuolo by analyzing each team's offensive and defensive capabilities, factoring in their recent form and historical data. The model then simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate probabilities for different match outcomes. This method provides a comprehensive prediction that takes into account both teams' strengths and weaknesses, as well as the inherent unpredictability of football.

How Does Home Advantage at Stadio Ennio Tardini Impact the Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction?

Stadio Ennio Tardini, the home ground of Parma, is known for its passionate atmosphere and can be a significant factor in influencing the outcome of matches. Home advantage often boosts a team's performance, providing them with a psychological edge and the support of their fans. In the case of Parma, this could translate to a more aggressive approach and potentially better performance, especially in terms of attack. However, Sassuolo's ability to cope with away games and their own offensive strategies will also play a crucial role in determining how much of an advantage Parma can gain from playing at home.

What is the Balance of Attack and Defence for Parma and Sassuolo?

When evaluating the attack and defence of both Parma and Sassuolo, it's important to consider their performances so far this season. Parma's attack has shown promise, with their forwards demonstrating the ability to create and convert chances. However, their defence has been somewhat inconsistent, conceding goals that could have been avoided with tighter marking and better coordination. On the other hand, Sassuolo is known for their attacking flair, often dominating possession and creating numerous scoring opportunities. Their defence, while not impenetrable, has been relatively solid, making them a formidable opponent in most matches.

Who Will Win Parma vs Sassuolo?

Predicting the winner of Parma vs Sassuolo is a complex task due to the numerous variables at play. While Parma's home advantage and attacking prowess could give them an edge, Sassuolo's strong offence and ability to perform well on the road cannot be overlooked. The model's prediction will be influenced by the most recent data and trends, but ultimately, the outcome will depend on how each team executes their game plan on the day. The interactive "what-if" simulator on Footyntel's page allows readers to explore different scenarios and gain a deeper understanding of how various factors could influence the match.

Parma vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

Parma and Sassuolo have met a couple of times in recent years, with their encounters often being closely contested affairs. While specific scorelines from previous matches are not provided, the general trend suggests that both teams have had their moments of dominance. The head-to-head history indicates that neither side has a clear upper hand, making each encounter unpredictable and exciting. This history of close contests suggests that the upcoming match could be another tight battle, with both teams vying for crucial points in the Serie A standings.

What to Look for in Parma vs Sassuolo?

As fans and analysts prepare for the clash between Parma and Sassuolo, here are a few key aspects to keep an eye on:

These factors, among others, will shape the course of the match and could influence the final outcome.

Football's Unpredictability: A Note of Caution

While Footyntel's model provides a detailed analysis and prediction for Parma vs Sassuolo, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. Unexpected events, individual brilliance, and other unforeseen factors can all play a part in altering the course of a match. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it is not a definitive guide to the match's outcome. Fans and analysts alike should approach the prediction with an open mind, ready to enjoy the match for its unpredictability and excitement.

FAQ

Who will win Parma vs Sassuolo?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Sassuolo the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Parma win 24%, draw 25%, Sassuolo win 51%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs Sassuolo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Parma 0–1 Sassuolo). Projected goals: Parma 1, Sassuolo 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Parma vs Sassuolo played?

Parma host Sassuolo at Stadio Ennio Tardini in the Serie A on 28 February 2027.

What is the Parma vs Sassuolo head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Parma have 1 win, Sassuolo 0, and 1 was drawn.

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