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Serie A · Fixtures

Parma vs Roma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Parma win
6%
Draw
14%
Roma win
80%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.5 – 2.4
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score33%
ParmaWLLLD18th · 5 pts
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts

Ahead of Parma v Roma in the Serie A on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Roma the most likely outcome at 80%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.5 for Parma and 2.4 for Roma. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Parma goals down (↓), Roma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Parma 0W · 0D · 2L.

Parma2–3Roma
Roma2–1Parma

Recent form

Parma
Dvs Udinese0–0
L@ Lazio1–2
Lvs Torino0–3
L@ Inter0–3
Wvs Genoa2–1
Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Parma vs Roma?

Footyntel's prediction for the upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Roma is based on a blend of statistical analysis and historical data. The model rates each team's attack and defence based on goals scored and conceded so far this season, adjusting for early-season volatility by regressing these figures toward the league average. It then incorporates last season's performance and simulates the match using a Poisson goals model. This approach provides insights into the likely outcome, including win/draw/win probabilities, projected scorelines, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring.

How Does Home Advantage at Stadio Ennio Tardini Shape the Prediction?

Playing at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma will look to leverage the familiar surroundings and home support to their advantage. Historically, home teams in Serie A have often enjoyed a slight edge due to the passionate fanbase and reduced travel fatigue. For Parma, this could mean a more aggressive approach, especially if they aim to capitalize on any potential weaknesses in Roma's defence. The model considers this home advantage, factoring it into the overall assessment of Parma's chances. However, the question remains: will Parma's home advantage be enough to overcome Roma's attacking prowess?

What is the Attack-Defence Balance for Both Sides?

When evaluating Parma vs Roma, the balance between attack and defence for both teams is crucial. Parma has shown a resilient defensive setup this season, often frustrating opponents with their disciplined backline. On the other hand, Roma possesses a potent attack, capable of breaking down even the most organized defences. The model's analysis suggests that the clash between Parma's defence and Roma's attack will be a key determinant of the match's outcome. Can Parma's defence hold firm, or will Roma's attackers find a way through?

Parma vs Roma Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

The head-to-head history between Parma and Roma provides some context but also underscores the unpredictability of football. While Footyntel's data shows that these two clubs have met 2 times in recent history, the specific details of those encounters are not disclosed. However, it is widely known that Serie A matches can be highly competitive and often hinge on small margins. The general trend from past meetings indicates that both teams have had their moments, with neither side holding a significant historical advantage. This history sets the stage for another closely contested match, where any small detail could tip the balance.

What Does Recent Form Indicate for Parma and Roma?

Recent form is another critical factor in predicting the outcome of Parma vs Roma. Parma has been working hard to establish themselves in the upper echelons of Serie A, while Roma continues to be a formidable force with their attacking flair. The model's assessment of recent performances suggests that both teams enter this match with confidence, albeit for different reasons. Parma's defensive solidity and Roma's attacking threat mean that this match could be a showcase of contrasting styles. The question is: will Parma's form be enough to stifle Roma's attacking intent?

What to Look for in Parma vs Roma

As fans and analysts prepare for this Serie A fixture, several key aspects will be worth watching:

Interactive Tools for Parma vs Roma

Footyntel offers interactive tools that allow readers to delve deeper into the match dynamics. The scoreline-probability heatmap provides a visual representation of the most likely outcomes, while the interactive "what-if" simulator lets users explore how changes in team strategy or player performance might affect the result. These tools enhance the match preview experience, offering insights beyond the basic prediction.

An Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a comprehensive analysis, it is essential to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, individual brilliance, or moments of controversy can all influence the outcome. Therefore, while the model offers a probabilistic assessment, the beauty of football lies in its capacity to surprise and delight. As Parma and Roma face off, fans can expect a thrilling encounter filled with tension and excitement.

FAQ

Who will win Parma vs Roma?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Roma the most likely result at 80%. Full split: Parma win 6%, draw 14%, Roma win 80%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs Roma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Parma 0–2 Roma). Projected goals: Parma 0.5, Roma 2.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Parma vs Roma played?

Parma host Roma at Stadio Ennio Tardini in the Serie A on 21 November 2026.

What is the Parma vs Roma head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Parma have 0 wins, Roma 2, and 0 were drawn.

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