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Serie A · Fixtures

Milan 2–4 Bologna

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 4

Milan 2–4 Bologna — Bologna won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Bologna to win at 24%, and the exact 2–4 scoreline at about 1%.

Pre-match model view

Milan win
52%
Draw
23%
Bologna win
24%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score56%
MilanWDWWL5th · 18 pts
BolognaDWLWW11th · 11 pts

Ahead of Milan v Bologna in the Serie A on 28 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Milan the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Milan and 1.1 for Bologna. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Milan goals down (↓), Bologna goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

564100101162109106210563100231100111000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Milan 2W · 0D · 1L.

Milan2–4Bologna
Bologna0–3Milan
Milan1–0Bologna

Recent form

Milan
Lvs Bologna2–4
W@ Udinese2–0
Wvs Atalanta3–2
D@ Sassuolo1–1
Wvs Lecce3–0
Bologna
W@ Milan4–2
W@ Cagliari2–0
Lvs Inter1–3
W@ Lecce2–1
Dvs Torino1–1

FAQ

Who will win Milan vs Bologna?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Milan the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Milan win 52%, draw 23%, Bologna win 24%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Bologna?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Milan 1–1 Bologna). Projected goals: Milan 1.8, Bologna 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Milan vs Bologna played?

Milan host Bologna at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A on 28 October 2026.

What is the Milan vs Bologna head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Milan have 2 wins, Bologna 1, and 0 were drawn.

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