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Fiorentina vs Roma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 35 · Sun 9 May, 00:00 UTC

Fiorentina win
7%
Draw
12%
Roma win
81%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.8 – 3
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams score51%
FiorentinaWDLLL19th · 4 pts
RomaDDWDW3rd · 21 pts

Ahead of Fiorentina v Roma in the Serie A on 9 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Roma the most likely outcome at 81%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.8 for Fiorentina and 3 for Roma. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Fiorentina goals down (↓), Roma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Fiorentina 0W · 0D · 3L.

Roma4–0Fiorentina
Roma4–0Fiorentina
Fiorentina1–2Roma

Recent form

Fiorentina
L@ Inter1–2
Lvs Como 19071–3
L@ Genoa1–2
Dvs Napoli1–1
W@ Venezia FC4–2
Roma
Wvs Cagliari4–2
D@ Napoli3–3
Wvs Genoa2–0
D@ Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter2–2

What Does Footyntel's Model Predict for Fiorentina vs Roma?

Footyntel's prediction model for the Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma leverages a blend of current season performance and historical data. By analyzing each team's goals scored and conceded, while regressing early-season data towards the league average, the model incorporates last season's form to simulate the match using a Poisson goals model. This approach generates win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. While the exact numbers are available on the page, the model provides a data-driven forecast that considers various factors influencing the outcome.

How Does Home Advantage at Stadio Artemio Franchi Impact the Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction?

Home advantage plays a significant role in football, and the Stadio Artemio Franchi is no exception. Fiorentina, as the home team, is likely to benefit from the familiar surroundings, the support of their fans, and the absence of travel fatigue. Historically, home teams in Serie A have a slight edge, and this could be a factor in the model's prediction for the Fiorentina vs Roma match. The home crowd can provide an extra boost to Fiorentina's attack and potentially influence the defensive performance of Roma. However, Roma's ability to handle away games and their recent form will also be crucial in determining how much of an impact the home advantage will have.

Who Will Win Fiorentina vs Roma?

Predicting the winner of any football match involves a degree of uncertainty, and Fiorentina vs Roma is no different. While Footyntel's model provides a probabilistic assessment, it is important to consider the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Fiorentina's attack, which has been effective in creating scoring opportunities, will face a Roma defence that has shown resilience in recent matches. On the other hand, Roma's attacking prowess, spearheaded by key players, will test Fiorentina's defensive capabilities. The model's prediction will reflect the balance between these attacking and defensive strengths, but ultimately, the outcome will depend on the performance on the day and the tactics employed by both managers.

Fiorentina vs Roma Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

When looking at the head-to-head history between Fiorentina and Roma, the data from Footyntel's records indicates that these two clubs have met three times in recent matches. While specific scorelines are not discussed, the general trend suggests a competitive rivalry with neither team having a clear dominance. This historical context provides a backdrop for the upcoming match, highlighting the potential for a closely contested encounter. Both teams have had their share of successes and challenges in previous meetings, and this history can influence the mindset of the players and managers going into the game.

What to Look for in Fiorentina vs Roma

As fans and analysts prepare for the Fiorentina vs Roma match, several key aspects will be worth watching:

These elements, among others, will shape the narrative of the match and could influence the final result.

The Unpredictability of Football: An Honest Note

While Footyntel's model provides a structured approach to predicting the outcome of the Fiorentina vs Roma match, it is important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Variables such as player form, injuries, weather conditions, and even the psychological state of the teams can all impact the result. The model's predictions are based on data and statistics, but they cannot account for every possible factor. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it is always wise to consider the broader context and the unpredictable nature of the sport when assessing the potential outcome.

FAQ

Who will win Fiorentina vs Roma?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Roma the most likely result at 81%. Full split: Fiorentina win 7%, draw 12%, Roma win 81%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Roma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Fiorentina 0–2 Roma). Projected goals: Fiorentina 0.8, Roma 3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Fiorentina vs Roma played?

Fiorentina host Roma at Stadio Artemio Franchi in the Serie A on 9 May 2027.

What is the Fiorentina vs Roma head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Fiorentina have 0 wins, Roma 3, and 0 were drawn.

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