Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Famalicão 1–4 Alverca

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Mon 12 Oct, 19:15 UTC · Full time

1 – 4

Famalicão 1–4 Alverca — Alverca won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Alverca to win at 32%, and the exact 1–4 scoreline at about 1%.

Pre-match model view

Famalicão win
41%
Draw
27%
Alverca win
32%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%
FamalicãoDDDWL13th · 7 pts
AlvercaDLWWW8th · 11 pts

Ahead of Famalicão v Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 12 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Famalicão the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Famalicão and 1.2 for Alverca. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Famalicão goals down (↓), Alverca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

810621011137310795210342100111000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Famalicão 1W · 0D · 2L.

Famalicão1–4Alverca
Famalicão1–0Alverca
Alverca1–0Famalicão

Recent form

Famalicão
Lvs Alverca1–4
W@ CD Nacional4–0
Dvs Sporting CP1–1
D@ Amadora2–2
Dvs Gil Vicente0–0
Alverca
W@ Famalicão4–1
Wvs Rio Ave1–0
W@ CD Nacional3–1
Lvs Braga1–2
Dvs Santa Clara1–1

FAQ

Who will win Famalicão vs Alverca?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Famalicão the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Famalicão win 41%, draw 27%, Alverca win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Famalicão vs Alverca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Famalicão 1–1 Alverca). Projected goals: Famalicão 1.3, Alverca 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Famalicão vs Alverca played?

Famalicão host Alverca at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho in the Primeira Liga on 12 October 2026.

What is the Famalicão vs Alverca head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Famalicão have 1 win, Alverca 2, and 0 were drawn.

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