Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

CD Nacional 1–0 Braga

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

CD Nacional 1–0 Braga — CD Nacional won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated CD Nacional to win at 17%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 5%.

Pre-match model view

CD Nacional win
17%
Draw
22%
Braga win
62%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.9 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score49%
CD NacionalLLLLW15th · 7 pts
BragaWDLLL9th · 11 pts

Ahead of CD Nacional v Braga in the Primeira Liga on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Braga the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.9 for CD Nacional and 1.9 for Braga. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — CD Nacional goals down (↓), Braga goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6121173151010631254310111100000000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — CD Nacional 2W · 0D · 1L.

CD Nacional1–0Braga
CD Nacional1–2Braga
Braga0–1CD Nacional

Recent form

CD Nacional
Wvs Braga1–0
L@ Rio Ave2–3
Lvs Famalicão0–4
Lvs Alverca1–3
L@ Sporting CP0–2
Braga
L@ CD Nacional0–1
Lvs Gil Vicente1–2
Lvs Sporting CP1–3
D@ Santa Clara0–0
Wvs Estoril Praia1–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: CD Nacional winDrawBraga win

FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs Braga?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Braga the most likely result at 62%. Full split: CD Nacional win 17%, draw 22%, Braga win 62%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for CD Nacional vs Braga?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (CD Nacional 0–1 Braga). Projected goals: CD Nacional 0.9, Braga 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is CD Nacional vs Braga played?

CD Nacional host Braga at Estádio da Madeira in the Primeira Liga on 25 October 2026.

What is the CD Nacional vs Braga head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, CD Nacional have 2 wins, Braga 1, and 0 were drawn.

← Primeira Liga table & projection