Arouca 1–0 Amadora
Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
AroucaWDLDW
AmadoraDWDLLAhead of Arouca v Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 11 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Arouca and 1.6 for Amadora. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arouca goals down (↓), Amadora goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Arouca 2W · 0D · 1L.
Arouca1–0AmadoraArouca1–0AmadoraAmadora3–1AroucaRecent form
Arouca AmadoraLock it in the interactive simulator: Arouca winDrawAmadora win
FAQ
Who will win Arouca vs Amadora?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arouca the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Arouca win 42%, draw 23%, Amadora win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Amadora?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arouca 1–1 Amadora). Projected goals: Arouca 1.7, Amadora 1.6.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Arouca vs Amadora played?
Arouca host Amadora at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 11 October 2026.
What is the Arouca vs Amadora head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Arouca have 2 wins, Amadora 1, and 0 were drawn.