Alverca 0–1 Arouca
Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
Ahead of Alverca v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Alverca and 1.6 for Arouca. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alverca goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Alverca 1W · 0D · 2L.
Recent form
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Alverca winDrawArouca win
FAQ
Who will win Alverca vs Arouca?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arouca the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Alverca win 27%, draw 25%, Arouca win 49%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Arouca?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alverca 1–1 Arouca). Projected goals: Alverca 1.1, Arouca 1.6.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Alverca vs Arouca played?
Alverca host Arouca at Campo Futebol Clube Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026.
What is the Alverca vs Arouca head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Alverca have 1 win, Arouca 2, and 0 were drawn.