Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Alverca 0–1 Arouca

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 UTC · Full time

0 – 1

Alverca 0–1 Arouca — Arouca won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Arouca to win at 49%, and the exact 0–1 scoreline at about 10%.

Pre-match model view

Alverca win
27%
Draw
25%
Arouca win
49%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score54%
AlvercaLWWWL8th · 11 pts
AroucaDLDWW5th · 17 pts

Ahead of Alverca v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Alverca and 1.6 for Arouca. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alverca goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Alverca 1W · 0D · 2L.

Alverca0–1Arouca
Alverca2–1Arouca
Arouca1–0Alverca

Recent form

Alverca
Lvs Arouca0–1
W@ Famalicão4–1
Wvs Rio Ave1–0
W@ CD Nacional3–1
Lvs Braga1–2
Arouca
W@ Alverca1–0
Wvs Amadora1–0
D@ Sporting CP2–2
Lvs Santa Clara1–2
D@ Estoril Praia0–0

FAQ

Who will win Alverca vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arouca the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Alverca win 27%, draw 25%, Arouca win 49%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alverca 1–1 Arouca). Projected goals: Alverca 1.1, Arouca 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Alverca vs Arouca played?

Alverca host Arouca at Campo Futebol Clube Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026.

What is the Alverca vs Arouca head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Alverca have 1 win, Arouca 2, and 0 were drawn.

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