Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Nottingham 0–1 Arsenal

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 UTC · Full time

0 – 1

Nottingham 0–1 Arsenal — Arsenal won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Arsenal to win at 61%, and the exact 0–1 scoreline at about 20%.

Pre-match model view

Nottingham win
13%
Draw
26%
Arsenal win
61%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams score32%
NottinghamWLLLD18th · 6 pts
ArsenalWLWWW2nd · 21 pts

Ahead of Nottingham v Arsenal in the Premier League on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.5 for Nottingham and 1.5 for Arsenal. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 32% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Nottingham goals down (↓), Arsenal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Nottingham 0W · 1D · 2L.

Nottingham0–1Arsenal
Nottingham0–0Arsenal
Arsenal3–0Nottingham

Recent form

Nottingham
D@ Ipswich Town1–1
Lvs Arsenal0–1
L@ Crystal Palace1–3
Lvs Coventry City0–1
W@ Aston Villa2–1
Arsenal
Wvs Everton2–0
W@ Nottingham1–0
Wvs Leeds United2–1
L@ Brighton Hove0–3
W@ Sunderland2–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Nottingham winDrawArsenal win

FAQ

Who will win Nottingham vs Arsenal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Nottingham win 13%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 61%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham vs Arsenal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Nottingham 0–1 Arsenal). Projected goals: Nottingham 0.5, Arsenal 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Nottingham vs Arsenal played?

Nottingham host Arsenal at The City Ground in the Premier League on 18 October 2026.

What is the Nottingham vs Arsenal head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Nottingham have 0 wins, Arsenal 2, and 1 was drawn.

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