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Premier League · Fixtures

Liverpool vs Man United — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 UTC

Liverpool win
50%
Draw
23%
Man United win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score58%
LiverpoolDWLWW4th · 15 pts
Man UnitedLDDDL16th · 7 pts

Ahead of Liverpool v Man United in the Premier League on 22 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Liverpool and 1.2 for Man United. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Liverpool goals down (↓), Man United goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Liverpool 0W · 0D · 2L.

Man United3–2Liverpool
Liverpool1–2Man United

Recent form

Liverpool
Wvs Brighton Hove2–0
W@ Brentford2–1
Lvs Man City0–3
W@ Bournemouth1–0
Dvs Fulham0–0
Man United
Lvs Bournemouth0–3
D@ Leeds United1–1
Dvs Tottenham1–1
D@ Fulham1–1
Lvs Man City0–1

How does Footyntel's model predict Liverpool vs Man United?

Footyntel's prediction for Liverpool vs Man United is generated using a statistical model that blends each team's current-season attack and defence ratings with their form from the previous season. The model regresses early-season data toward the league average, ensuring that predictions are not overly swayed by a small sample size. It then uses a Poisson goals model to simulate the match, producing probabilities for each possible outcome, a most-likely scoreline, and projections for total goals and both teams scoring. This approach provides a data-driven forecast that reflects both teams' strengths and weaknesses.

What does the model expect from Liverpool vs Man United?

The model considers several key factors when predicting this Premier League clash. Liverpool, playing at Anfield, traditionally enjoy a significant home advantage, which is factored into the prediction. Home advantage is a well-documented phenomenon in football, and Anfield is known for its passionate atmosphere that can intimidate visiting teams. On the other hand, Manchester United will be looking to capitalize on any weaknesses in Liverpool's defence, as they have done in previous encounters.

The model's prediction is also influenced by each team's attack and defence balance. Liverpool's attacking prowess, combined with their solid defence, makes them a formidable opponent. Meanwhile, Manchester United's ability to score goals and their recent defensive improvements will be crucial in determining the outcome. The model simulates these factors to provide a comprehensive prediction that takes into account the nuances of both teams.

Who will win Liverpool vs Man United?

Predicting the winner of Liverpool vs Manchester United is a challenging task due to the competitive nature of the Premier League and the historical rivalry between these two clubs. The model's prediction is based on a detailed analysis of each team's performance metrics, but it is important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable.

The model's simulation will provide a probability for each possible outcome, but it is crucial to approach these predictions with the understanding that any number of factors, including player form, tactics, and even weather conditions, can influence the final result.

Liverpool vs Man United head-to-head: What does history tell us?

When looking at the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Manchester United, it is clear that these matches are often closely contested. While specific past results are not discussed here, it is widely known that both teams have enjoyed periods of dominance over the other. The rivalry is one of the most storied in football, with each encounter carrying significant weight.

Recent form, as factored into the model, suggests that both teams have had their ups and downs. Liverpool's performances at Anfield have been particularly strong, while Manchester United have shown the ability to grind out results against tough opposition. The model's prediction will reflect these trends, but it is important to note that head-to-head history is just one of many factors considered.

What to look for in Liverpool vs Man United?

As we anticipate the Liverpool vs Manchester United match, here are some key aspects to focus on:

The Role of the Scoreline-Probability Heatmap and Interactive Simulator

Footyntel's page includes a scoreline-probability heatmap and an interactive "what-if" simulator, allowing users to explore different scenarios. The heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of various scorelines, offering insights into the model's expectations. The simulator, meanwhile, lets users tweak factors such as team form and player availability, providing a deeper understanding of how different variables can affect the outcome.

Acknowledging Football's Unpredictability

While the model provides a data-driven prediction, it is essential to acknowledge the unpredictability of football. Liverpool vs Manchester United is a fixture that has historically produced surprising results, and the model's predictions are probabilistic rather than certain. Fans and analysts alike should approach the match with an understanding that anything can happen on the day.

In conclusion, Footyntel's model offers a comprehensive prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester United, taking into account a wide range of factors. As the match approaches, all eyes will be on Anfield, where two of England's biggest clubs will battle for supremacy.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Man United?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Liverpool win 50%, draw 23%, Man United win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Man United?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Liverpool 1–1 Man United). Projected goals: Liverpool 1.8, Man United 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Liverpool vs Man United played?

Liverpool host Man United at Anfield in the Premier League on 22 November 2026.

What is the Liverpool vs Man United head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Liverpool have 0 wins, Man United 2, and 0 were drawn.

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