Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Fulham vs Nottingham — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 UTC

Fulham win
42%
Draw
30%
Nottingham win
27%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams score40%
FulhamDDLWW15th · 8 pts
NottinghamWLLLD18th · 6 pts

Ahead of Fulham v Nottingham in the Premier League on 10 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Fulham the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.1 for Fulham and 0.9 for Nottingham. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Fulham goals down (↓), Nottingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Fulham 1W · 1D · 0L.

Nottingham0–0Fulham
Fulham1–0Nottingham

Recent form

Fulham
W@ Coventry City1–0
Wvs Hull City1–0
L@ Ipswich Town1–2
Dvs Man United1–1
D@ Liverpool0–0
Nottingham
D@ Ipswich Town1–1
Lvs Arsenal0–1
L@ Crystal Palace1–3
Lvs Coventry City0–1
W@ Aston Villa2–1

Fulham vs Nottingham Prediction: What Does the Model Expect?

Footyntel's model approaches the Fulham vs Nottingham fixture by evaluating each team's attack and defence metrics, factoring in their performance from the current 2026/27 season as well as their form from the previous season. The model then simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and insights into potential goal projections and over/under statistics. These predictions are grounded in data from football-data.org and are presented as statistical probabilities rather than definitive outcomes.

Who Will Win Fulham vs Nottingham?

When predicting the outcome of Fulham vs Nottingham, several key factors come into play.

Home Advantage at Craven Cottage

Fulham will have the advantage of playing at Craven Cottage, a venue known for its intimate atmosphere and passionate support. Historically, home advantage in the Premier League can significantly influence match outcomes, and Fulham will be looking to capitalize on this. The model considers how home teams generally perform in similar scenarios, taking into account Fulham's historical performance at Craven Cottage and their current form.

Attack and Defence Balance

Both Fulham and Nottingham Forest will be assessed based on their attacking and defensive capabilities.

Fulham vs Nottingham Head-to-Head

The head-to-head history between Fulham and Nottingham Forest provides some interesting insights, though it's important to note that the sample size in recent data is limited to two matches.

What to Look for in Fulham vs Nottingham

As you prepare to watch Fulham vs Nottingham, here are some key aspects to keep an eye on:

The Scoreline-Probability Heatmap and Interactive Simulator

On the Footyntel page, you'll find a scoreline-probability heatmap that provides a visual representation of the likelihood of different outcomes. This tool is based on the model's simulations and offers a fascinating insight into the potential range of results. Additionally, an interactive "what-if" simulator allows you to explore how changes in team strategy or player performance might affect the outcome. These tools are designed to enhance your understanding of the match and provide a deeper appreciation of the factors at play.

The Unpredictability of Football

While Footyntel's model provides a comprehensive analysis and prediction, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. Variables such as weather, player form, and tactical adjustments can all influence the outcome of a match. The model's predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data, but they cannot account for every possible scenario. As such, while the model offers valuable insights, it is not an infallible guide to the match's outcome.

In conclusion, the Fulham vs Nottingham fixture promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams bringing their own strengths and challenges. Whether you're a fan of Fulham or Nottingham, or simply a lover of the beautiful game, this match is sure to provide plenty of excitement and intrigue.

FAQ

Who will win Fulham vs Nottingham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Fulham the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Fulham win 42%, draw 30%, Nottingham win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Nottingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Fulham 1–0 Nottingham). Projected goals: Fulham 1.1, Nottingham 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Fulham vs Nottingham played?

Fulham host Nottingham at Craven Cottage in the Premier League on 10 February 2027.

What is the Fulham vs Nottingham head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Fulham have 1 win, Nottingham 0, and 1 was drawn.

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