Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Crystal Palace vs Everton — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 31 · Sat 10 Apr, 14:00 UTC

Crystal Palace win
29%
Draw
27%
Everton win
44%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score49%
Crystal PalaceLDWLL17th · 7 pts
EvertonDWDLL11th · 10 pts

Ahead of Crystal Palace v Everton in the Premier League on 10 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Everton the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Crystal Palace and 1.4 for Everton. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Crystal Palace goals down (↓), Everton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

91284109139410575210222100010000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Crystal Palace 0W · 1D · 2L.

Everton2–0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace2–2Everton
Everton2–1Crystal Palace

Recent form

Crystal Palace
Lvs Newcastle0–2
L@ Brighton Hove0–5
Wvs Nottingham3–1
D@ Leeds United0–0
Lvs Ipswich Town2–3
Everton
L@ Arsenal0–2
Lvs Chelsea0–2
D@ Hull City2–2
Wvs Ipswich Town1–0
D@ Tottenham0–0

What Does Footyntel's Model Predict for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Footyntel's model provides a data-driven forecast for the Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Everton by simulating the match thousands of times using a Poisson goals model. This approach takes into account each team's attacking and defensive strengths, regresses early-season data toward the league average, and blends in last season's form to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and other key metrics like expected goals and the likelihood of both teams scoring.

How Does Home Advantage at Selhurst Park Influence the Crystal Palace vs Everton Prediction?

Selhurst Park, the historic home of Crystal Palace, is known for its lively atmosphere and can be a challenging venue for visiting teams. The model considers the potential impact of home advantage, which often gives Crystal Palace an edge in terms of crowd support and familiar surroundings. Historically, home teams in the Premier League have a slightly higher chance of winning, and this factor is reflected in the model's projections. However, Everton's recent performances and their ability to adapt to away games will also play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

Who Will Win Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Predicting the winner of Crystal Palace vs Everton involves a detailed analysis of both teams' current form and historical performance. Crystal Palace, with their robust defence and ability to capitalize on set pieces, will look to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Everton, known for their counter-attacking style and strong midfield presence, will aim to exploit any weaknesses in Crystal Palace's defence. The model's prediction is based on a blend of these factors, but as with any football match, the result can be influenced by individual player performances, tactical decisions, and even moments of luck.

Key Factors in Determining the Winner:

Crystal Palace vs Everton Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

When looking at the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Everton, the data reveals a competitive rivalry with neither team having a clear dominance. The recent encounters Footyntel has data for indicate a balanced contest, with both teams capable of taking points off each other. While specific past results are not detailed here, the general trend suggests that matches between these two sides are often closely fought, with tight margins deciding the outcome. This historical context is factored into the model's prediction, providing a nuanced view of what fans can expect.

Historical Insights:

What to Look for in Crystal Palace vs Everton?

As the match unfolds at Selhurst Park, several aspects will be worth watching. Crystal Palace's attacking strategy, often reliant on quick transitions and wing play, will be pitted against Everton's disciplined defence and ability to counter-attack. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams seek to control the game's tempo and create scoring chances. Additionally, the role of set pieces cannot be underestimated, as both teams have shown proficiency in converting these opportunities.

Key Areas to Watch:

Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a comprehensive analysis and prediction for Crystal Palace vs Everton, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. The beauty of the sport lies in its unpredictability, where underdog stories and unexpected outcomes are part of what makes it so captivating. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, the actual result will ultimately depend on the players' performances on the day and the tactical decisions made by the managers.

FAQ

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Everton the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Crystal Palace win 29%, draw 27%, Everton win 44%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Crystal Palace 1–1 Everton). Projected goals: Crystal Palace 1.1, Everton 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Crystal Palace vs Everton played?

Crystal Palace host Everton at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on 10 April 2027.

What is the Crystal Palace vs Everton head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Crystal Palace have 0 wins, Everton 2, and 1 was drawn.

← Premier League table & projection