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Premier League · Fixtures

Bournemouth vs Newcastle — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC

Bournemouth win
48%
Draw
22%
Newcastle win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score65%
BournemouthDLLWW13th · 9 pts
NewcastleLWLLW8th · 11 pts

Ahead of Bournemouth v Newcastle in the Premier League on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bournemouth the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Bournemouth and 1.5 for Newcastle. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bournemouth goals down (↓), Newcastle goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Bournemouth 1W · 2D · 0L.

Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
Newcastle1–2Bournemouth
Bournemouth0–0Newcastle

Recent form

Bournemouth
W@ Man United3–0
Wvs Sunderland2–0
L@ Chelsea1–5
Lvs Liverpool0–1
Dvs Brentford2–2
Newcastle
W@ Crystal Palace2–0
Lvs Aston Villa0–1
L@ Coventry City1–4
Wvs Hull City2–1
L@ Leeds United1–4

What does Footyntel's model expect from Bournemouth vs Newcastle, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's model predicts the outcome of the upcoming Premier League clash between AFC Bournemouth and Newcastle United FC by simulating the match using a Poisson goals model. This approach takes into account each side's attack and defence ratings, which are derived from goals scored and conceded so far this season, adjusted towards the league average in the early stages. The model also incorporates last season's form to provide a comprehensive prediction. The result is a set of probabilities for a win, draw, or loss for both teams, along with a most-likely scoreline and projections for total goals and other key metrics.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

The question on every football fan's mind is, of course, who will emerge victorious in this Premier League encounter. While Footyntel's model provides a probabilistic outlook, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. The model considers several factors that could influence the outcome:

Ultimately, the model's prediction is a blend of these factors, offering a probabilistic forecast rather than a definitive outcome.

Bournemouth vs Newcastle head-to-head

When examining the head-to-head history between Bournemouth and Newcastle, it's clear that these two clubs have faced each other several times in recent years. While Footyntel's data covers three recent meetings, it's important to approach this history with a broad perspective. The outcomes of these past encounters can provide a general sense of how the teams match up, but they are not a guaranteed indicator of future results.

For instance, the matches have often been closely contested, with both teams showcasing their abilities to both score and defend. This suggests that the upcoming fixture could be a tight affair, with neither team willing to give an inch. However, it's crucial to note that each match is a unique event, influenced by a myriad of factors including team selection, tactics, and even weather conditions.

What to look for in Bournemouth vs Newcastle

As we look forward to the Bournemouth vs Newcastle match, several key aspects will be worth keeping an eye on:

While these elements provide a framework for analysis, it's essential to acknowledge the unpredictability of football. Upsets happen, and the beautiful game is full of surprises. The model's predictions are grounded in data and statistical analysis, but they are not infallible.

In conclusion, the Bournemouth vs Newcastle match promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the Premier League. Whether you're a fan of Bournemouth or Newcastle, this is a fixture that will undoubtedly capture your attention and keep you on the edge of your seat.

FAQ

Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bournemouth the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Bournemouth win 48%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Newcastle?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle). Projected goals: Bournemouth 1.9, Newcastle 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Bournemouth vs Newcastle played?

Bournemouth host Newcastle at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on 13 March 2027.

What is the Bournemouth vs Newcastle head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Bournemouth have 1 win, Newcastle 0, and 2 were drawn.

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