Aston Villa 2–1 Man City
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
Aston VillaLWDWW
Man CityWWWWLAhead of Aston Villa v Man City in the Premier League on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Man City the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.1 for Aston Villa and 2.1 for Man City. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Aston Villa goals down (↓), Man City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Aston Villa 3W · 0D · 0L.
Aston Villa2–1Man CityMan City1–2Aston VillaAston Villa1–0Man CityRecent form
Aston Villa Man CityLock it in the interactive simulator: Aston Villa winDrawMan City win
FAQ
Who will win Aston Villa vs Man City?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Man City the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Aston Villa win 18%, draw 21%, Man City win 61%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Man City?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Aston Villa 1–2 Man City). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.1, Man City 2.1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Aston Villa vs Man City played?
Aston Villa host Man City at Villa Park in the Premier League on 24 October 2026.
What is the Aston Villa vs Man City head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Aston Villa have 3 wins, Man City 0, and 0 were drawn.