Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Monaco 1–1 Lille

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Monaco 1–1 Lille — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 29%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 13%.

Pre-match model view

Monaco win
35%
Draw
29%
Lille win
37%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score46%
MonacoDWDLD4th · 15 pts
LilleWLWDD3rd · 15 pts

Ahead of Monaco v Lille in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Lille the most likely outcome at 37%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Monaco and 1.2 for Lille. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Monaco goals down (↓), Lille goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Monaco 0W · 1D · 2L.

Monaco1–1Lille
Monaco0–1Lille
Lille1–0Monaco

Recent form

Monaco
Dvs Lille1–1
L@ Lorient0–1
Dvs Toulouse2–2
Wvs RC Lens2–1
D@ Strasbourg1–1
Lille
D@ Monaco1–1
Dvs Brest1–1
Wvs Le Havre1–0
L@ Nice1–2
Wvs Troyes2–0

FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Lille?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Lille the most likely result at 37%. Full split: Monaco win 35%, draw 29%, Lille win 37%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Lille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Monaco 1–1 Lille). Projected goals: Monaco 1.1, Lille 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Monaco vs Lille played?

Monaco host Lille at Stade Louis II. in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026.

What is the Monaco vs Lille head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Monaco have 0 wins, Lille 2, and 1 was drawn.

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