Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Marseille 4–3 Le Havre

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UTC · Full time

4 – 3

Marseille 4–3 Le Havre — Marseille won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Marseille to win at 72%, and the exact 4–3 scoreline at about 1%.

Pre-match model view

Marseille win
72%
Draw
16%
Le Havre win
12%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score55%
MarseilleLLWWW8th · 12 pts
Le HavreDLLLL18th · 2 pts

Ahead of Marseille v Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 72%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.5 for Marseille and 0.9 for Le Havre. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marseille goals down (↓), Le Havre goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

3310008831001094100984100552100321000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Marseille 3W · 0D · 0L.

Marseille4–3Le Havre
Le Havre0–1Marseille
Marseille6–2Le Havre

Recent form

Marseille
Wvs Le Havre4–3
W@ Angers SCO5–2
W@ Troyes2–0
Lvs PSG1–2
L@ Stade Rennais0–1
Le Havre
L@ Marseille3–4
Lvs Auxerre1–3
L@ Lille0–1
L@ Toulouse2–3
Dvs Angers SCO0–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Marseille winDrawLe Havre win

FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Le Havre?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Marseille the most likely result at 72%. Full split: Marseille win 72%, draw 16%, Le Havre win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Le Havre?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Marseille 2–0 Le Havre). Projected goals: Marseille 2.5, Le Havre 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Marseille vs Le Havre played?

Marseille host Le Havre at Orange Vélodrome in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026.

What is the Marseille vs Le Havre head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Marseille have 3 wins, Le Havre 0, and 0 were drawn.

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