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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 23%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 10%.

Pre-match model view

Auxerre win
42%
Draw
23%
Le Mans win
35%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score64%
AuxerreWWLWD12th · 10 pts
Le MansDWLLD15th · 7 pts

Ahead of Auxerre v Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Auxerre the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Auxerre and 1.5 for Le Mans. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Auxerre goals down (↓), Le Mans goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

4652107108420697310354210122100011000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Auxerre 0W · 1D · 0L.

Auxerre1–1Le Mans

Recent form

Auxerre
Dvs Le Mans1–1
W@ Le Havre3–1
L@ Stade Rennais1–4
Wvs Brest2–1
Wvs Nice1–0
Le Mans
D@ Auxerre1–1
Lvs Toulouse0–3
L@ PSG1–3
Wvs Lorient2–1
Dvs RC Lens2–2

FAQ

Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Auxerre the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Auxerre win 42%, draw 23%, Le Mans win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans). Projected goals: Auxerre 1.7, Le Mans 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Auxerre vs Le Mans played?

Auxerre host Le Mans at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026.

What is the Auxerre vs Le Mans head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Auxerre have 0 wins, Le Mans 0, and 1 was drawn.

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