Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Valencia 1–2 Villarreal

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 2

Valencia 1–2 Villarreal — Villarreal won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Villarreal to win at 53%, and the exact 1–2 scoreline at about 10%.

Pre-match model view

Valencia win
23%
Draw
24%
Villarreal win
53%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score52%
ValenciaWLDDL19th · 6 pts
VillarrealWWLDW10th · 12 pts

Ahead of Valencia v Villarreal in the La Liga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Villarreal the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1 for Valencia and 1.7 for Villarreal. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Valencia goals down (↓), Villarreal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

7111052171110621365310122100010000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Valencia 0W · 0D · 3L.

Valencia1–2Villarreal
Villarreal2–1Valencia
Valencia0–2Villarreal

Recent form

Valencia
Lvs Villarreal1–2
Dvs Athletic0–0
D@ Santander2–2
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3
W@ Alavés1–0
Villarreal
W@ Valencia2–1
Dvs Elche0–0
L@ Real Madrid0–1
Wvs Levante3–1
W@ Málaga3–1

FAQ

Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Villarreal the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Valencia win 23%, draw 24%, Villarreal win 53%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Villarreal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Valencia 1–1 Villarreal). Projected goals: Valencia 1, Villarreal 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Valencia vs Villarreal played?

Valencia host Villarreal at Estadio de Mestalla in the La Liga on 24 October 2026.

What is the Valencia vs Villarreal head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Valencia have 0 wins, Villarreal 3, and 0 were drawn.

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