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La Liga · Fixtures

Levante vs Elche — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Levante win
47%
Draw
22%
Elche win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score67%
LevanteLDDWL14th · 10 pts
ElcheLWDDW15th · 10 pts

Ahead of Levante v Elche in the La Liga on 23 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Levante the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Levante and 1.5 for Elche. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Levante goals down (↓), Elche goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Levante 1W · 0D · 1L.

Levante3–2Elche
Elche2–0Levante

Recent form

Levante
L@ Real Sociedad1–2
Wvs Athletic3–1
D@ Deportivo1–1
Dvs Sevilla FC3–3
L@ Villarreal1–3
Elche
W@ Rayo Vallecano3–0
D@ Villarreal0–0
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Levante vs Elche, and How Is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's prediction model for the Levante vs Elche clash in La Liga (2026/27) leverages a blend of historical data, current season performance metrics, and a sophisticated statistical approach. By evaluating each team's attacking and defensive capabilities—adjusted for early-season variance and influenced by last season's form—the model simulates the match using a Poisson goals model. This approach provides win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. The model's predictions are grounded in data from football-data.org, offering a statistical perspective rather than definitive outcomes.

How Does Home Advantage at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Influence the Levante vs Elche Prediction?

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, the home ground of Levante, is a crucial factor in this prediction. Home advantage in football is a well-documented phenomenon, often providing teams with a psychological and logistical edge. For Levante, playing at home could mean:

However, the exact impact of home advantage varies from team to team and season to season. Levante's performance at home this season, combined with Elche's away form, will be critical in shaping the model's prediction.

What Do Levante's and Elche's Attack and Defence Balances Tell Us?

Understanding the attack and defence balances of both Levante and Elche is essential for a nuanced prediction:

The model's prediction will be significantly influenced by these balances, as they indicate how each team might perform in different phases of the game.

Levante vs Elche Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

While specific past results are not disclosed, the head-to-head history between Levante and Elche provides a general context. The two clubs have met multiple times in recent years, with the outcomes reflecting the competitive nature of La Liga. Key insights from their head-to-head include:

This historical context suggests that the upcoming match could follow a similar pattern of unpredictability and tactical intrigue.

What to Look for in Levante vs Elche?

When analyzing the Levante vs Elche match, several factors warrant attention:

Interactive Tools for Deeper Insights

Footyntel offers interactive tools that allow readers to delve deeper into the prediction. The scoreline-probability heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of different outcomes, while the interactive "what-if" simulator lets users explore how changes in team performance might affect the result. These tools enhance the predictive experience, offering a more engaging and informative analysis.

A Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a statistical forecast, it's important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Variables such as player form, managerial decisions, and even weather conditions can influence the outcome. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it does not guarantee results. Football remains a game of surprises, and the Levante vs Elche match is no exception.

Conclusion

In summary, Footyntel's model predicts a competitive match between Levante and Elche, with home advantage, attack and defence balances, and head-to-head history all playing significant roles. The interactive tools on the page offer deeper insights, but the unpredictable nature of football ensures that the excitement of the game remains intact. Whether you're a fan of Levante or Elche, this match promises to be an intriguing encounter.

FAQ

Who will win Levante vs Elche?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Levante the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Levante win 47%, draw 22%, Elche win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Elche?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Levante 1–1 Elche). Projected goals: Levante 1.9, Elche 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Levante vs Elche played?

Levante host Elche at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in the La Liga on 23 November 2026.

What is the Levante vs Elche head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Levante have 1 win, Elche 1, and 0 were drawn.

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