Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Levante vs Alavés — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sun 13 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Levante win
39%
Draw
24%
Alavés win
36%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score60%
LevanteLDDWL14th · 10 pts
AlavésLDLLD7th · 12 pts

Ahead of Levante v Alavés in the La Liga on 13 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Levante the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Levante and 1.5 for Alavés. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Levante goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Levante 1W · 0D · 1L.

Levante2–0Alavés
Alavés2–1Levante

Recent form

Levante
L@ Real Sociedad1–2
Wvs Athletic3–1
D@ Deportivo1–1
Dvs Sevilla FC3–3
L@ Villarreal1–3
Alavés
Dvs Málaga1–1
L@ Celta1–2
Lvs Atleti1–2
D@ Athletic0–0
Lvs Valencia0–1

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Levante vs Alavés, and How is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's model approaches the Levante vs Alavés match by analyzing each team's attacking and defensive strengths, factoring in their performance from the current 2026/27 season as well as their form from the previous season. The model uses a Poisson goals model to simulate the match, providing probabilities for win, draw, and loss, as well as a most-likely scoreline and projections for goals scored. This method leverages data from football-data.org and avoids fabricating any specific outcomes, offering a statistical perspective rather than betting advice.

How Does Home Advantage at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Influence the Levante vs Alavés Prediction?

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia is known for its vibrant atmosphere and passionate supporters, which can significantly impact the performance of Levante. Home advantage is a critical factor in football, and Levante will be looking to capitalize on this to secure a favorable result. The model considers how Levante's familiarity with the pitch, the support of their fans, and the potential for Alavés to be unsettled by the away environment could influence the match. Historically, home teams in La Liga have enjoyed a certain edge, and this fixture is no exception. The model takes into account Levante's home form and how it compares to Alavés' away performances, providing a nuanced view of how the venue might affect the outcome.

Who Will Win Levante vs Alavés: Analyzing Each Side's Attack and Defence

When assessing who will win Levante vs Alavés, the model's focus on attack and defence provides valuable insights.

Levante vs Alavés Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

While the head-to-head history between Levante and Alavés is limited in the data Footyntel holds, the general trend suggests that these matches are often closely contested. Both teams have shown the ability to take points off each other, and the matches have been characterized by tight, tactical battles. The model uses this historical context to inform its predictions, recognizing that past encounters can offer clues about the teams' tactical approaches and psychological dynamics.

What to Look for in Levante vs Alavés: Key Factors and Interactive Tools

Several key factors can influence the outcome of Levante vs Alavés:

Readers can explore these factors further using the interactive tools on the page. The scoreline-probability heatmap allows users to visualize the likelihood of different outcomes, while the "what-if" simulator lets them tweak variables to see how changes might affect the prediction. These tools provide a deeper understanding of the match dynamics and empower users to make informed assessments.

An Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a statistical framework for predicting the Levante vs Alavés match, it's important to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. The beautiful game is full of surprises, and even the most sophisticated models cannot account for every variable. Unexpected events, such as a red card, an injury, or a moment of individual brilliance, can drastically alter the course of a match. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it is not infallible. Users are encouraged to consider the predictions as one piece of the puzzle, alongside their own analysis and intuition.

Conclusion

In summary, the Levante vs Alavés match promises to be a compelling encounter, with both teams bringing their unique strengths and strategies to the table. Footyntel's model provides a data-driven perspective, highlighting the potential influence of home advantage, attack and defence dynamics, and historical head-to-head trends. By using the interactive tools and considering the key factors, readers can gain a comprehensive understanding of the match and make informed predictions.

By engaging with the model's predictions and the interactive features, readers can enhance their match preview experience and enjoy the match with a deeper level of insight.

FAQ

Who will win Levante vs Alavés?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Levante the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Levante win 39%, draw 24%, Alavés win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Alavés?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Levante 1–1 Alavés). Projected goals: Levante 1.5, Alavés 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Levante vs Alavés played?

Levante host Alavés at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in the La Liga on 13 December 2026.

What is the Levante vs Alavés head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Levante have 1 win, Alavés 1, and 0 were drawn.

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