Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Elche vs Levante — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sun 7 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Elche win
49%
Draw
22%
Levante win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals2 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams score66%
ElcheLWDDW15th · 10 pts
LevanteLDDWL14th · 10 pts

Ahead of Elche v Levante in the La Liga on 7 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Elche the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 2 for Elche and 1.5 for Levante. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Elche goals down (↓), Levante goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Elche 1W · 0D · 1L.

Levante3–2Elche
Elche2–0Levante

Recent form

Elche
W@ Rayo Vallecano3–0
D@ Villarreal0–0
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
Levante
L@ Real Sociedad1–2
Wvs Athletic3–1
D@ Deportivo1–1
Dvs Sevilla FC3–3
L@ Villarreal1–3

What Does Footyntel's Model Predict for Elche vs Levante?

Footyntel's model provides a probabilistic outlook on the upcoming La Liga clash between Elche CF and Levante UD. By analyzing each team's offensive and defensive metrics, factoring in their recent form and historical performance, and simulating the match using a Poisson goals model, the platform offers insights into potential outcomes. The prediction process is grounded in statistical analysis, focusing on the likelihood of different scorelines and game scenarios rather than offering definitive forecasts.

How Does Home Advantage at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Influence the Elche vs Levante Prediction?

Playing at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche CF enjoys the benefit of home support and familiar surroundings, which can be a significant factor in their performance. Historically, home advantage in La Liga has often played a crucial role in determining match outcomes, with teams generally performing better in front of their own fans. For Elche, this could mean a slight edge as they look to capitalize on their home turf against Levante UD. The model considers this advantage by weighing Elche's home performance metrics more heavily, particularly in terms of goal-scoring and defensive stability.

On the other hand, Levante UD will be looking to neutralize Elche's home advantage with a strong defensive setup and swift counter-attacking play. The model takes into account Levante's away form, assessing how well they have performed in similar situations throughout the season. This includes evaluating their ability to score on the road and their defensive resilience against home teams.

What Does the Attack-Defence Balance Tell Us About Elche and Levante?

Elche CF and Levante UD both have distinct strengths and weaknesses when it comes to their attack and defence. Elche's attack, as evaluated by Footyntel's model, is a key component of their strategy, with the team relying on a combination of tactical play and individual skill to break down opponents. Their defence, while not the most watertight, has shown moments of solidity, which could be crucial in containing Levante's attacking threats.

Levante UD, conversely, has a more balanced approach, with their attack and defence both contributing significantly to their overall performance. The model indicates that Levante's defence has been particularly effective in recent matches, which could pose a challenge for Elche's offensive lineup. However, Levante's attack, though potent, will need to be at its best to breach Elche's defence, especially given the home team's defensive improvements.

Elche vs Levante Head-to-Head: What Does History Tell Us?

When examining the head-to-head history between Elche CF and Levante UD, several patterns emerge. While Footyntel's data only covers a couple of recent meetings, the general trend suggests that these encounters are often closely contested, with neither side holding a clear advantage. The matches tend to be hard-fought, with both teams displaying a strong commitment to their respective styles of play.

Historically, these fixtures have been characterized by a focus on tactical discipline and strategic play, rather than open, free-flowing football. This could mean that the upcoming match might not be a goal fest, but rather a game where every goal and every defensive action could be pivotal. The model reflects this by indicating a relatively even distribution of probabilities across different scoreline scenarios.

Key Points from Head-to-Head History:

What to Look for in Elche vs Levante: Insights and Projections

As fans and analysts look forward to the Elche vs Levante match, several factors will be under the microscope. The model's projections suggest a tight contest, with the outcome potentially hinging on a few key moments. Here are some aspects to keep an eye on:

Embracing Football's Unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides a statistical framework for understanding the Elche vs Levante match, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. The beauty of the sport lies in its unpredictability, with unexpected twists and turns often shaping the outcome. As such, while the model offers valuable insights, it cannot account for every variable, including the human elements of passion, determination, and sheer luck.

Ultimately, the Elche vs Levante match promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the La Liga standings. Whether it's a closely fought draw or a decisive victory for either side, the match is sure to provide plenty of excitement for fans and neutrals alike.

FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Levante?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Elche the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Elche win 49%, draw 22%, Levante win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Levante?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Elche 1–1 Levante). Projected goals: Elche 2, Levante 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Elche vs Levante played?

Elche host Levante at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in the La Liga on 7 February 2027.

What is the Elche vs Levante head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Elche have 1 win, Levante 1, and 0 were drawn.

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