Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Atleti 1–0 Deportivo

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Atleti 1–0 Deportivo — Atleti won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Atleti to win at 67%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 12%.

Pre-match model view

Atleti win
67%
Draw
19%
Deportivo win
13%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score48%
AtletiWWWWW2nd · 25 pts
DeportivoLDLDL11th · 11 pts

Ahead of Atleti v Deportivo in the La Liga on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 67%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.1 for Atleti and 0.8 for Deportivo. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Deportivo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Atleti 1W · 0D · 0L.

Atleti1–0Deportivo

Recent form

Atleti
Wvs Deportivo1–0
W@ Espanyol1–0
W@ Alavés2–1
Wvs Real Madrid2–1
Wvs Osasuna4–0
Deportivo
L@ Atleti0–1
Dvs Levante1–1
L@ Real Sociedad2–3
Dvs Real Betis1–1
Lvs Sevilla FC0–1

FAQ

Who will win Atleti vs Deportivo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 67%. Full split: Atleti win 67%, draw 19%, Deportivo win 13%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Deportivo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Deportivo). Projected goals: Atleti 2.1, Deportivo 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Atleti vs Deportivo played?

Atleti host Deportivo at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in the La Liga on 24 October 2026.

What is the Atleti vs Deportivo head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Atleti have 1 win, Deportivo 0, and 0 were drawn.

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