Alavés 1–1 Málaga
La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
AlavésLDLLD
MálagaLLDLDAhead of Alavés v Málaga in the La Liga on 23 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Alavés and 0.8 for Málaga. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Málaga goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meeting — Alavés 0W · 1D · 0L.
Alavés1–1MálagaRecent form
Alavés MálagaLock it in the interactive simulator: Alavés winDrawMálaga win
FAQ
Who will win Alavés vs Málaga?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Alavés win 62%, draw 22%, Málaga win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Málaga?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Alavés 1–0 Málaga). Projected goals: Alavés 1.8, Málaga 0.8.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Alavés vs Málaga played?
Alavés host Málaga at Estadio de Mendizorroza in the La Liga on 23 October 2026.
What is the Alavés vs Málaga head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meeting in our data, Alavés have 0 wins, Málaga 0, and 1 was drawn.