Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Levante — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 35 · Sun 9 May, 00:00 UTC

Alavés win
54%
Draw
23%
Levante win
24%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score58%
AlavésLDLLD7th · 12 pts
LevanteLDDWL14th · 10 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Levante in the La Liga on 9 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Alavés and 1.2 for Levante. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Levante goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Alavés 1W · 0D · 1L.

Levante2–0Alavés
Alavés2–1Levante

Recent form

Alavés
Dvs Málaga1–1
L@ Celta1–2
Lvs Atleti1–2
D@ Athletic0–0
Lvs Valencia0–1
Levante
L@ Real Sociedad1–2
Wvs Athletic3–1
D@ Deportivo1–1
Dvs Sevilla FC3–3
L@ Villarreal1–3

What does Footyntel's model expect from Alavés vs Levante, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's prediction for the upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and Levante UD is generated through a meticulous statistical model. This model evaluates each team's offensive and defensive capabilities based on their goals scored and conceded so far this season, adjusted towards the league average in the early stages. It also incorporates last season's performance data to provide a comprehensive analysis. By simulating the match using a Poisson goals model, Footyntel offers win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring.

How does home advantage at Estadio de Mendizorroza influence the Alavés vs Levante prediction?

Playing at the Estadio de Mendizorroza, Deportivo Alavés holds a significant home advantage that could play a crucial role in the match. Historically, Alavés has been known to perform better on their home turf, benefiting from the familiar surroundings and the support of their fans. The model takes into account the potential boost in performance that Alavés might experience due to this home advantage. On the other hand, Levante UD will need to strategize effectively to overcome the challenges posed by playing away from home. The balance between Alavés' home strength and Levante's away form will be a key factor in shaping the prediction.

Who will win Alavés vs Levante?

Predicting the winner of Alavés vs Levante involves a detailed analysis of several factors. While Footyntel's model provides a probabilistic outlook, it is important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. The model considers the attacking and defensive strengths of both Deportivo Alavés and Levante UD, as well as their recent form. Here are some key points to consider:

Ultimately, the match could hinge on moments of individual brilliance, tactical decisions, or even a stroke of luck.

Alavés vs Levante head-to-head: What does history tell us?

When looking at the head-to-head history between Deportivo Alavés and Levante UD, the data reveals a competitive and closely contested rivalry. While specific past results are not being discussed here, it is clear that both teams have had their share of victories and defeats against each other. This historical context suggests that the upcoming match could be a tight affair, with neither team holding a significant upper hand based on past encounters alone. The model considers this history as part of its broader analysis, but it also emphasizes the importance of current form and other factors in shaping the prediction.

What to look for in Alavés vs Levante?

As fans and analysts prepare for the Alavés vs Levante match, several aspects will be worth keeping an eye on:

These elements, combined with the broader statistical analysis, will help shape the narrative of the match.

Interactive Tools for Alavés vs Levante Fans

Footyntel offers interactive tools that allow fans to delve deeper into the match prediction. The scoreline-probability heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of various outcomes, while the interactive "what-if" simulator lets users explore how changes in team performance might affect the result. These tools add an extra layer of engagement, enabling fans to engage with the data and form their own predictions.

An Honest Note on Football's Unpredictability

While statistical models like Footyntel's provide valuable insights, it is essential to acknowledge the unpredictable nature of football. Unexpected events, such as a key player's injury or a refereeing decision, can significantly alter the course of a match. Therefore, while the model offers a probabilistic forecast, the beauty of football lies in its capacity to surprise and delight, making every match a unique and thrilling experience.

FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Levante?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Alavés win 54%, draw 23%, Levante win 24%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Levante?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alavés 1–1 Levante). Projected goals: Alavés 1.9, Levante 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Alavés vs Levante played?

Alavés host Levante at Estadio de Mendizorroza in the La Liga on 9 May 2027.

What is the Alavés vs Levante head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Alavés have 1 win, Levante 1, and 0 were drawn.

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