Sparta 1–2 Ajax
Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
SpartaLLDWL
AjaxWDDWWAhead of Sparta v Ajax in the Eredivisie on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 81%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–3, with projected goals of 1 for Sparta and 3.4 for Ajax. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sparta goals down (↓), Ajax goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Sparta 0W · 1D · 2L.
Sparta1–2AjaxAjax4–0SpartaSparta3–3AjaxRecent form
Sparta AjaxFAQ
Who will win Sparta vs Ajax?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Ajax the most likely result at 81%. Full split: Sparta win 8%, draw 11%, Ajax win 81%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Sparta vs Ajax?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–3 (Sparta 1–3 Ajax). Projected goals: Sparta 1, Ajax 3.4.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Sparta vs Ajax played?
Sparta host Ajax at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel in the Eredivisie on 25 October 2026.
What is the Sparta vs Ajax head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Sparta have 0 wins, Ajax 2, and 1 was drawn.