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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Sittard 1–0 Excelsior

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Sittard 1–0 Excelsior — Sittard won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Sittard to win at 36%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Sittard win
36%
Draw
23%
Excelsior win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score65%
SittardLWDDW6th · 18 pts
ExcelsiorLDLLL13th · 11 pts

Ahead of Sittard v Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Excelsior the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Sittard and 1.7 for Excelsior. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sittard goals down (↓), Excelsior goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

4653106109521587421344210121100010000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Sittard 2W · 0D · 1L.

Sittard1–0Excelsior
Sittard2–1Excelsior
Excelsior1–0Sittard

Recent form

Sittard
Wvs Excelsior1–0
D@ NEC2–2
Dvs Twente1–1
W@ Willem II1–0
Lvs Ajax1–5
Excelsior
L@ Sittard0–1
L@ Heerenveen0–4
Lvs Groningen1–5
D@ Ajax2–2
Lvs Utrecht1–2

FAQ

Who will win Sittard vs Excelsior?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Excelsior the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Sittard win 36%, draw 23%, Excelsior win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sittard vs Excelsior?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Sittard 1–1 Excelsior). Projected goals: Sittard 1.6, Excelsior 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Sittard vs Excelsior played?

Sittard host Excelsior at Fortuna Sittard Stadion in the Eredivisie on 25 October 2026.

What is the Sittard vs Excelsior head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Sittard have 2 wins, Excelsior 1, and 0 were drawn.

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