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Eredivisie · Fixtures

NEC vs PSV — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 UTC

NEC win
14%
Draw
14%
PSV win
72%
Most likely score1–3
Projected goals1.5 – 3.2
Over 2.5 goals85%
Both teams score74%
NECLDDDD12th · 11 pts
PSVWLWLD3rd · 20 pts

Ahead of NEC v PSV in the Eredivisie on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for PSV the most likely outcome at 72%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–3, with projected goals of 1.5 for NEC and 3.2 for PSV. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and 74% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — NEC goals down (↓), PSV goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — NEC 1W · 0D · 1L.

PSV2–3NEC
NEC3–5PSV

Recent form

NEC
Dvs Groningen2–2
Dvs Sittard2–2
D@ Ajax1–1
Dvs Go Ahead1–1
L@ Cambuur0–3
PSV
Dvs Feyenoord1–1
L@ Den Haag1–2
Wvs Heerenveen2–0
L@ Twente2–3
Wvs Sparta4–1

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from NEC vs PSV, and How Is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's model predicts the outcome of NEC vs PSV by analyzing each team's attacking and defensive strengths, factoring in their recent form and historical data. The prediction process involves blending goals scored and conceded so far this season, regressing early-season data toward the league average, and blending it with last season's performance. The model then simulates the match using a Poisson goals model to generate win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, projected goals, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring.

Who Will Win NEC vs PSV?

When it comes to predicting the winner of NEC vs PSV, several factors come into play. The model considers the historical head-to-head record, recent form, and the specific dynamics of this season's performances. While NEC will have the advantage of playing at Goffertstadion, PSV's strong attacking prowess and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent. The model takes into account:

Ultimately, the model's prediction is a blend of statistical analysis and probabilistic simulation, providing a data-driven perspective on the likely outcome.

NEC vs PSV Head-to-Head

The history between NEC and PSV is a tale of a rivalry that has seen its fair share of dramatic encounters. While Footyntel's data covers recent matches, the general trend suggests that PSV has often had the upper hand. However, NEC has shown resilience and the ability to challenge PSV, especially when playing at home. The head-to-head record indicates that:

While specific past results are not discussed here, the historical context provides a backdrop against which the current match can be analyzed.

What to Look for in NEC vs PSV

As we look forward to the upcoming clash between NEC and PSV, several key aspects will shape the match. Understanding these elements can provide valuable insights into the potential flow of the game and the factors that could influence the final result.

Home Advantage at Goffertstadion

NEC will benefit from playing at Goffertstadion, a venue known for its passionate atmosphere and the support of dedicated fans. Home advantage can be a significant factor in football, often providing a psychological boost and influencing the referee's decisions. NEC will aim to leverage this advantage to unsettle PSV and create scoring opportunities.

Attacking and Defensive Balance

Both NEC and PSV have shown a balance between attacking flair and defensive solidity this season. NEC's attack has been effective in creating chances and converting them, while their defense has been relatively resilient. On the other hand, PSV boasts a potent attacking lineup that can exploit defensive weaknesses. The match will likely hinge on:

Interactive Tools for Deeper Analysis

Footyntel offers an interactive "what-if" simulator that allows readers to explore how different scenarios might affect the outcome. By adjusting factors such as team form, player availability, and in-game events, users can gain a deeper understanding of the match dynamics. Additionally, the scoreline-probability heatmap provides a visual representation of the likelihood of various outcomes, offering a comprehensive view of the match's potential.

The Unpredictability of Football

While statistical models provide valuable insights, it's important to remember that football is inherently unpredictable. Unexpected events, individual brilliance, and tactical surprises can all influence the outcome. NEC vs PSV promises to be an exciting encounter, and while the model offers a probabilistic forecast, the beauty of the game lies in its capacity to surprise and delight.

In conclusion, the NEC vs PSV match is shaping up to be a compelling fixture with several intriguing storylines. Whether you're a fan of NEC or PSV, this is a game that promises excitement and drama, with both teams vying for crucial points in the Eredivisie.

FAQ

Who will win NEC vs PSV?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for PSV the most likely result at 72%. Full split: NEC win 14%, draw 14%, PSV win 72%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for NEC vs PSV?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–3 (NEC 1–3 PSV). Projected goals: NEC 1.5, PSV 3.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is NEC vs PSV played?

NEC host PSV at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on 21 November 2026.

What is the NEC vs PSV head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, NEC have 1 win, PSV 1, and 0 were drawn.

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