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Eredivisie · Fixtures

NEC vs Cambuur — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sun 10 Jan, 11:15 UTC

NEC win
46%
Draw
20%
Cambuur win
34%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.2 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams score76%
NECLDDDD12th · 11 pts
CambuurWDWDW10th · 12 pts

Ahead of NEC v Cambuur in the Eredivisie on 10 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for NEC the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.2 for NEC and 1.9 for Cambuur. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 76% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — NEC goals down (↓), Cambuur goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — NEC 0W · 0D · 1L.

Cambuur3–0NEC

Recent form

NEC
Dvs Groningen2–2
Dvs Sittard2–2
D@ Ajax1–1
Dvs Go Ahead1–1
L@ Cambuur0–3
Cambuur
W@ Willem II6–1
Dvs AZ2–2
W@ Zwolle1–0
D@ Den Haag1–1
Wvs NEC3–0

What does Footyntel's model expect from NEC vs Cambuur, and how is the prediction made?

Footyntel's model anticipates an intriguing clash between NEC and Cambuur, leveraging a sophisticated approach that blends current-season attacking and defensive metrics with last season's form. By simulating the match using a Poisson goals model, the system generates win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and insights into goals and over/under trends. This prediction process relies on data from football-data.org and emphasizes statistical rigor over speculative outcomes.

How does home advantage at Goffertstadion influence the NEC vs Cambuur prediction?

The Goffertstadion, NEC's home ground, is a crucial factor in this NEC vs Cambuur prediction. Historically, home advantage has played a significant role in the Eredivisie, often providing teams with a tangible edge due to familiar surroundings and supportive fans. For NEC, playing at Goffertstadion could mean:

While Cambuur will be looking to neutralize these factors, the historical significance of home advantage cannot be overlooked. NEC will aim to leverage this to their benefit, making the Goffertstadion a key element in shaping the outcome.

What do NEC and Cambuur's attack and defence balance tell us about the match?

When analyzing NEC vs Cambuur, both teams' attacking and defensive capabilities come under scrutiny. NEC has shown a balanced approach, with their attack demonstrating the ability to create chances and their defence working hard to limit opposition opportunities. This balance is crucial in the Eredivisie, where consistency often separates the top teams from the rest.

Cambuur, on the other hand, has a reputation for being more attack-minded. Their offensive plays can be a double-edged sword; while they can outscore opponents, they also leave themselves vulnerable to counterattacks. This dynamic sets the stage for an exciting encounter, as NEC's defence will be tested against Cambuur's attacking prowess.

The model's projection will consider these factors, blending current form with historical data to predict how each team's strengths and weaknesses might play out on the pitch.

What does the head-to-head history tell us about NEC vs Cambuur?

While Footyntel's database contains only one recent meeting between NEC and Cambuur, this encounter provides a snapshot of their rivalry. The general trend in their head-to-head history suggests a competitive and closely contested affair whenever these two teams meet. Both NEC and Cambuur have had their moments of dominance, but the matches are often characterized by:

Without delving into specific past results, it's clear that NEC vs Cambuur matches are rarely straightforward. This unpredictability adds an extra layer of intrigue to their encounters, making each meeting a must-watch for fans of both teams.

What can recent form tell us about the NEC vs Cambuur prediction?

Recent form is a critical component of the NEC vs Cambuur prediction. NEC's form heading into this match will be scrutinized for signs of consistency and momentum. A team in good form often carries confidence and a winning mentality, which can be decisive in high-stakes matches.

Cambuur, meanwhile, will be looking to build on their recent performances, particularly in away games. The Eredivisie is a league where home and away form can vary significantly, and Cambuur's ability to perform on the road will be under the microscope. Recent results will provide clues about their confidence and tactical approach, influencing the model's projection.

What to look for in NEC vs Cambuur?

As fans and analysts prepare for NEC vs Cambuur, several key aspects will be under the spotlight:

Ultimately, NEC vs Cambuur promises to be a captivating encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in the Eredivisie standings.

An honest note on football's unpredictability

While Footyntel's model provides valuable insights, it's essential to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, such as injuries, red cards, or moments of individual brilliance, can significantly alter the course of a match. NEC vs Cambuur is no exception, and fans should be prepared for the unexpected. The model's projections offer a guide, but the beauty of football lies in its capacity to surprise and delight.

FAQ

Who will win NEC vs Cambuur?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for NEC the most likely result at 46%. Full split: NEC win 46%, draw 20%, Cambuur win 34%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for NEC vs Cambuur?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (NEC 2–1 Cambuur). Projected goals: NEC 2.2, Cambuur 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is NEC vs Cambuur played?

NEC host Cambuur at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on 10 January 2027.

What is the NEC vs Cambuur head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, NEC have 0 wins, Cambuur 1, and 0 were drawn.

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