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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Groningen vs AZ — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 13 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Groningen win
27%
Draw
21%
AZ win
52%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.5 – 2.1
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score68%
GroningenDWWLD8th · 15 pts
AZDWLDL5th · 20 pts

Ahead of Groningen v AZ in the Eredivisie on 13 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for AZ the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.5 for Groningen and 2.1 for AZ. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Groningen goals down (↓), AZ goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Groningen 1W · 0D · 1L.

Groningen3–0AZ
AZ4–1Groningen

Recent form

Groningen
D@ NEC2–2
Lvs Ajax2–5
W@ Excelsior5–1
Wvs Zwolle3–0
D@ Go Ahead1–1
AZ
Lvs Twente0–2
D@ Cambuur2–2
L@ Feyenoord0–2
Wvs Telstar1–0
Dvs Willem II1–1

What Does Footyntel's Model Expect from Groningen vs AZ, and How Is the Prediction Made?

Footyntel's model approaches the prediction for Groningen vs AZ by evaluating each team's offensive and defensive capabilities, factoring in their recent and historical performances, and then simulating the match using a Poisson goals model. This method considers the regressed goals scored and conceded by both sides, blending in last season's form to provide a balanced projection. The model then generates win/draw/win probabilities, a most-likely scoreline, and insights into potential goal totals and scoring patterns.

How Does Home Advantage at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion Impact the Groningen vs AZ Prediction?

The Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion is a significant factor in the Groningen vs AZ prediction. As the home ground for FC Groningen, it offers a familiar environment and the support of their home crowd, which can be a crucial advantage. Historically, home teams in the Eredivisie have often benefited from these factors, and FC Groningen will look to leverage this to their advantage against AZ. The model's projections take into account the historical performance trends of both teams when playing at this venue, providing a nuanced view of how home advantage might influence the outcome.

What Does the Head-to-Head History Tell Us About Groningen vs AZ?

When examining the Groningen vs AZ head-to-head record, several key insights emerge. While Footyntel's data holds information on two recent meetings between these clubs, it is important to note that these encounters provide a limited snapshot. In general terms, both FC Groningen and AZ have demonstrated competitive matches, with neither side holding a clear dominance. The head-to-head history suggests that both teams are capable of challenging each other, and the outcomes have often been closely contested. This historical context is crucial for understanding the potential dynamics of their upcoming fixture.

How Does Recent Form Influence the Who Will Win Groningen vs AZ Question?

Recent form is a critical component in determining who will win Groningen vs AZ. FC Groningen and AZ both enter this match with their own sets of strengths and weaknesses, as reflected in their recent performances. FC Groningen will rely on their home form and the support of their fans, while AZ will look to capitalize on any potential vulnerabilities in the home side's defense. The model's analysis of recent performances, including goals scored and conceded, provides a comprehensive picture of how each team is currently playing. This analysis is essential for understanding the potential outcomes of the match.

What to Look for in Groningen vs AZ: Key Factors and Insights

Several key factors should be considered when analyzing the Groningen vs AZ match:

The Unpredictability of Football: An Honest Note

While Footyntel's model provides a detailed and data-driven prediction for Groningen vs AZ, it is essential to acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of football. Unexpected events, such as key player performances, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions, can all influence the match. The model's projections are based on statistical analysis and historical data, but they cannot account for every possible variable. Therefore, while the model offers valuable insights, it is crucial to approach the prediction with an understanding of the sport's dynamic and unpredictable nature.

Conclusion

In summary, the Groningen vs AZ match promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams bringing their unique strengths to the table. The model's prediction, grounded in a thorough analysis of both teams' performances, suggests a competitive match with several potential outcomes. As fans and analysts alike anticipate the match, the insights provided by Footyntel's model offer a valuable perspective on what to expect from this Eredivisie fixture.

By considering these elements, readers can gain a comprehensive understanding of the factors shaping the Groningen vs AZ prediction.

FAQ

Who will win Groningen vs AZ?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for AZ the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Groningen win 27%, draw 21%, AZ win 52%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs AZ?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Groningen 1–2 AZ). Projected goals: Groningen 1.5, AZ 2.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Groningen vs AZ played?

Groningen host AZ at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion in the Eredivisie on 13 February 2027.

What is the Groningen vs AZ head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings in our data, Groningen have 1 win, AZ 1, and 0 were drawn.

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