Groningen 2–5 Ajax
Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sun 18 Oct, 14:45 UTC · Full time
Pre-match model view
GroningenDWWLD
AjaxWDDWWAhead of Groningen v Ajax in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 66%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.4 for Groningen and 2.7 for Ajax. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 70% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Groningen goals down (↓), Ajax goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Groningen 1W · 0D · 2L.
Groningen2–5AjaxGroningen3–1AjaxAjax2–0GroningenRecent form
Groningen AjaxLock it in the interactive simulator: Groningen winDrawAjax win
FAQ
Who will win Groningen vs Ajax?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Ajax the most likely result at 66%. Full split: Groningen win 17%, draw 17%, Ajax win 66%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Ajax?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Groningen 1–2 Ajax). Projected goals: Groningen 1.4, Ajax 2.7.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring.
Where is Groningen vs Ajax played?
Groningen host Ajax at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026.
What is the Groningen vs Ajax head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings in our data, Groningen have 1 win, Ajax 2, and 0 were drawn.