Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

West Ham 2–3 Southampton

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

2 – 3

West Ham 2–3 Southampton — Southampton won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Southampton to win at 36%, and the exact 2–3 scoreline at about 4%.

Pre-match model view

West Ham win
42%
Draw
22%
Southampton win
36%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams score69%
West HamDDWWL3rd · 22 pts
SouthamptonLWWDW6th · 20 pts

Ahead of West Ham v Southampton in the Championship on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for West Ham the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for West Ham and 1.7 for Southampton. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — West Ham goals down (↓), Southampton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

354210598421587421354310122110111000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — West Ham 0W · 0D · 1L.

West Ham2–3Southampton

Recent form

West Ham
Lvs Southampton2–3
W@ Swansea1–0
W@ Lincoln City6–0
Dvs QPR1–1
D@ Millwall2–2
Southampton
W@ West Ham3–2
Dvs Bolton0–0
W@ Norwich1–0
Wvs Portsmouth1–0
L@ Wrexham1–2

FAQ

Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for West Ham the most likely result at 42%. Full split: West Ham win 42%, draw 22%, Southampton win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Southampton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (West Ham 1–1 Southampton). Projected goals: West Ham 1.9, Southampton 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is West Ham vs Southampton played?

West Ham host Southampton at London Stadium in the Championship on 24 October 2026.

What is the West Ham vs Southampton head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, West Ham have 0 wins, Southampton 1, and 0 were drawn.

← Championship table & projection