Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby County

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby County — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 23%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 11%.

Pre-match model view

Sheffield Utd win
56%
Draw
23%
Derby County win
21%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score52%
Sheffield UtdLWLWD12th · 16 pts
Derby CountyDDLLD23rd · 7 pts

Ahead of Sheffield Utd v Derby County in the Championship on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Sheffield Utd the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Sheffield Utd and 1 for Derby County. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sheffield Utd goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6631001111520010105200663100331000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Sheffield Utd 1W · 1D · 1L.

Sheffield Utd1–1Derby County
Derby County1–2Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd1–3Derby County

Recent form

Sheffield Utd
Dvs Derby County1–1
W@ Bristol City1–0
L@ Portsmouth2–3
Wvs Lincoln City3–0
L@ Stoke1–2
Derby County
D@ Sheffield Utd1–1
Lvs Stoke0–1
L@ QPR1–4
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Sheffield Utd winDrawDerby County win

FAQ

Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Sheffield Utd the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Sheffield Utd win 56%, draw 23%, Derby County win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby County). Projected goals: Sheffield Utd 1.8, Derby County 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Sheffield Utd vs Derby County played?

Sheffield Utd host Derby County at Bramall Lane in the Championship on 24 October 2026.

What is the Sheffield Utd vs Derby County head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings in our data, Sheffield Utd have 1 win, Derby County 1, and 1 was drawn.

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