Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham — Cardiff won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Cardiff to win at 34%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 9%.

Pre-match model view

Cardiff win
34%
Draw
26%
Birmingham win
40%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score55%
CardiffWLWDW16th · 14 pts
BirminghamDWWWL7th · 20 pts

Ahead of Cardiff v Birmingham in the Championship on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Cardiff and 1.4 for Birmingham. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Cardiff goals down (↓), Birmingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Cardiff 1W · 0D · 0L.

Cardiff1–0Birmingham

Recent form

Cardiff
Wvs Birmingham1–0
D@ Middlesbrough2–2
Wvs Watford5–1
L@ Blackburn1–2
Wvs Charlton3–1
Birmingham
L@ Cardiff0–1
Wvs QPR3–0
Wvs Preston NE4–0
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Cardiff winDrawBirmingham win

FAQ

Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Cardiff win 34%, draw 26%, Birmingham win 40%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Birmingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham). Projected goals: Cardiff 1.3, Birmingham 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Cardiff vs Birmingham played?

Cardiff host Birmingham at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on 24 October 2026.

What is the Cardiff vs Birmingham head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Cardiff have 1 win, Birmingham 0, and 0 were drawn.

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